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28.08.2026 18:00
FT
2 - 2
Stade Paul-Lignon
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane, France
Rodez
Match Timeline
PAU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
B. Leye · Assist: J. Benet
PAU
🟨
3'
Raphaël Lipinski
Rodez
⚽
28'
I. Balde · Assist: R. Lipinski
Rodez
⚽
37'
B. Leye · Assist: A. Briancon
PAU
🟨
45+3'
Hacene Benali
PAU
🔄
59'
A. Abdallah ↔ S. Basse
PAU
🔄
59'
B. Leye ↔ A. Lefebvre
PAU
🔄
64'
R. Ponti ↔ E. Jean-Lambert
Rodez
🔄
64'
C. Issanchou ↔ S. Luyambula
Rodez
🔄
64'
M. Touho ↔ K. Nagera
Rodez
🔄
64'
L. Rajot ↔ L. Gadegbeku
PAU
🔄
68'
A. Briancon ↔ G. Paquiez
PAU
🔄
68'
H. Benali ↔ A. Mbaye
PAU
🟨
70'
Loni Laurent
Rodez
🔄
72'
D. Pavlovic ↔ O. Joly
Rodez
⚽
83'
O. Joly · Assist: M. Magnin
Rodez
🔄
85'
L. Laurent ↔ N. Nsingi
Rodez
🟨
89'
Mathis Magnin
Rodez

Rodez vs PAU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rodez Win 70%
Draw 8.8%
PAU Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodez2.25
PAU1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodez Rodez
W L W L D
11 GF / 10 GA
PAU PAU
L W L L L
2 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rodez Rodez 8 matches
PAU PAU 8 matches
Rodez Statistic PAU
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
22 Goals For 6
15 Goals Against 12
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 1
8 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
6 Shots On Goal 2
15.33 Total Shots 12.67
7 Corners 4.33
45% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rodez won 6 times, PAU won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Rodez's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Rodez 5-3-2 / PAU 5-3-2
H2H summary: Rodez wins 6, draws 4, PAU wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:11 14 28
W L W W W
2 12 8 1 3 17:9 8 25
W W W W W
3 12 7 3 2 18:9 9 24
L W W W W
4 12 5 6 1 24:15 9 21
L W D W D
5
PAU Away
12 6 2 4 16:13 3 20
L W W W W
6 12 5 3 4 21:19 2 18
W W L L W
7 12 4 5 3 20:19 1 17
W L D W L
8 12 5 2 5 14:17 -3 17
L L L L W
9 12 5 1 6 14:18 -4 16
L L W L W
10 12 4 3 5 17:17 0 15
W L D W L
11 12 4 2 6 16:18 -2 14
L W W L L
12 12 2 7 3 10:8 2 13
W L D W D
13
Rodez Home
12 4 1 7 17:23 -6 13
L W W L L
14 12 3 3 6 14:18 -4 12
W D L L D
15 12 1 8 3 11:15 -4 11
W D L D L
16 12 2 5 5 8:15 -7 11
L L L L D
17 12 3 2 7 13:22 -9 11
W L L L L
18 12 2 3 7 14:23 -9 9
L W L D L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3