FRANCE LIGUE 2
28.08.2026 18:00
FT
2 - 2
Stade Paul-Lignon
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane, France
Rodez
Match Timeline
PAU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
B. Leye · Assist: J. Benet
PAU
🟨
3'
Raphaël Lipinski
Rodez
28'
I. Balde · Assist: R. Lipinski
Rodez
37'
B. Leye · Assist: A. Briancon
PAU
🟨
45+3'
Hacene Benali
PAU
🔄
59'
A. Abdallah ↔ S. Basse
PAU
🔄
59'
B. Leye ↔ A. Lefebvre
PAU
🔄
64'
R. Ponti ↔ E. Jean-Lambert
Rodez
🔄
64'
C. Issanchou ↔ S. Luyambula
Rodez
🔄
64'
M. Touho ↔ K. Nagera
Rodez
🔄
64'
L. Rajot ↔ L. Gadegbeku
PAU
🔄
68'
A. Briancon ↔ G. Paquiez
PAU
🔄
68'
H. Benali ↔ A. Mbaye
PAU
🟨
70'
Loni Laurent
Rodez
🔄
72'
D. Pavlovic ↔ O. Joly
Rodez
83'
O. Joly · Assist: M. Magnin
Rodez
🔄
85'
L. Laurent ↔ N. Nsingi
Rodez
🟨
89'
Mathis Magnin
Rodez

Rodez vs PAU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
1.79
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.77
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Rodez Win 70%
Draw 8.8%
PAU Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodez2.25
PAU1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodez Rodez
WWDLW
22 GF / 15 GA
PAU PAU
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
4
5.67
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rodez Rodez 8 matches
PAU PAU 8 matches
Rodez Statistic PAU
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
22 Goals For 6
15 Goals Against 12
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 1
8 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
5.67 Shots On Goal 2
15 Total Shots 12.33
7 Corners 4.33
45% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rodez won 6 times, PAU won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Rodez's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Rodez 5-3-2 / PAU 5-3-2
H2H summary: Rodez wins 6, draws 4, PAU wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 17:6 11 15
L W W W W
2 6 3 3 0 14:8 6 12
W D W W D
3 6 3 2 1 5:4 1 11
W L D W W
4 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L W D L W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
W D D D W
6 6 2 3 1 3:4 -1 9
W D D W D
7 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
W D L L D
8 6 2 2 2 9:9 0 8
W D D L W
9 5 2 2 1 5:6 -1 8
W L D D W
10 6 2 1 3 4:4 0 7
L L W W L
11
Rodez Home
6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L W L D
13 6 1 3 2 8:9 -1 6
W D L D L
14 6 0 5 1 2:3 -1 5
D D D D L
15
PAU Away
6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
16 6 0 5 1 3:5 -2 5
D D D D L
17 6 1 1 4 7:12 -5 4
L W D L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
L L L D W
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3