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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
05.09.2026 14:00
Spotland
Rochdale
Match Timeline
Gillingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Conor McManus
Gillingham
🔄
18'
Z. Obiero ↔ E. King
Gillingham
🔄
18'
W. Goodwin ↔ L. Sillah
Gillingham
⚽
33'
J. Brophy · Assist: N. Freeman
Gillingham
🔄
46'
C. McManus ↔ R. McKenzie
Gillingham
🟨
51'
Edward Francis
Rochdale
⚽
53'
O. Beckles
Gillingham
⚽
56'
L. Sillah · Assist: A. Smith
Gillingham
🟨
60'
Edward Francis
Rochdale
🟥
60'
Edward Francis
Rochdale
🔄
64'
L. Dobbs ↔ J. Daley
Gillingham
🔄
66'
Z. Silcott-Duberry ↔ H. Gilmour
Rochdale
⚽
68'
J. Brophy · Assist: E. King
Gillingham
🔄
73'
H. Waldock ↔ S. Kendall
Gillingham
🔄
81'
L. Hannant ↔ J. Smith
Rochdale
🔄
81'
D. Brown ↔ G. Middleton
Rochdale
⚽
87'
C. Tasker · Assist: G. Middleton
Rochdale
🔄
88'
E. Dieseruvwe ↔ I. Henderson
Rochdale

Rochdale vs Gillingham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 33.1%
Draw 23.7%
Gillingham Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.18
Gillingham1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale Rochdale
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
Gillingham Gillingham
WLDWL
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
4
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
3
2.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale Rochdale 8 matches
Gillingham Gillingham 8 matches
Rochdale Statistic Gillingham
1 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
11 Goals For 8
16 Goals Against 7
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
4 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
2.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
7.5 Total Shots 11
3.75 Corners 3.5
59.5% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 3 times, Gillingham won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Rochdale's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)
Predicted formations: Rochdale 4-2-3-1 / Gillingham 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 3, draws 4, Gillingham wins 8

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League