TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Referee: A. Albayrak
Rizespor
Match Timeline
Beşiktaş
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Emmanuel Agbadou
Beşiktaş
18'
A. Sowe · Assist: M. Sagnan
Rizespor
31'
A. Sowe · Assist: A. Mebude
Rizespor
🟨
33'
Cengiz Ünder
Beşiktaş
🟨
37'
Wilfred Ndidi
Beşiktaş
🔄
46'
C. Under ↔ V. Cerny
Beşiktaş
🔄
46'
M. Hekimoglu ↔ Jota Silva
Beşiktaş
🔄
46'
W. Ndidi ↔ J. Olaitan
Beşiktaş
55'
Jota Silva · Assist: O. Kokcu
Beşiktaş
🔄
57'
V. Mihaila ↔ L. Augusto
Rizespor
🔄
60'
I. Olawoyin ↔ G. Papanikolaou
Rizespor
62'
V. Cerny · Assist: J. Olaitan
Beşiktaş
🟨
63'
Ali Sowe
Rizespor
🔄
77'
Y. Ozcan ↔ R. Yilmaz
Beşiktaş
🔄
84'
K. Asllani ↔ S. Ucan
Beşiktaş
🔄
86'
T. Antalyali ↔ M. Buljubasic
Rizespor
🔄
86'
A. Mebude ↔ E. Bulut
Rizespor
🔄
87'
A. Sowe ↔ H. Dervisoglu
Rizespor
🟨
90+7'
Casper Højer
Rizespor
VAR
90+5'
Halil Dervişoğlu
Rizespor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rizespor Win 55.3%
Draw 0%
Beşiktaş Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rizespor1.3
Beşiktaş1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rizespor Rizespor
WWDLW
44 GF / 50 GA
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
WLDWL
67 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
18
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
22
3.91
Shots on Goal
5.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rizespor Rizespor 33 matches
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 39 matches
Rizespor Statistic Beşiktaş
10 Wins 19
10 Draws 9
13 Losses 11
44 Goals For 67
50 Goals Against 49
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
18 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 32
19 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 7
3.91 Shots On Goal 5.72
12.73 Total Shots 15.51
4.12 Corners 4.95
50% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Beşiktaş's more proactive style and Rizespor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Beşiktaş carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 59 points while Rizespor sit 8 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rizespor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beşiktaş in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beşiktaş having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Beşiktaş. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Rizespor Analysis

Rizespor are currently 8 in the standings with 40 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 44:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ali Sowe (7 goals), Qazim Laci (7 goals), V. Mihaila (5 goals), with creative support from Qazim Laci (9 assists), Ali Sowe (4 assists), V. Mihaila (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Beşiktaş Analysis

Beşiktaş arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 59 points after 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 57:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Orkun Kökçü (8 goals), T. Abraham (7 goals), Hyun-gyu Oh (6 goals), with creative support from V. Cerny (8 assists), Orkun Kökçü (7 assists), E. B. Toure (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rizespor won 1 times, Beşiktaş won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:41 from Rizespor's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rizespor 4-2-3-1 / Beşiktaş 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Rizespor 2, Beşiktaş 5
H2H summary: Rizespor wins 1, draws 4, Beşiktaş wins 10

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation