BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Rio Branco ES
Match Timeline
Porto BA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Breninho
Rio Branco ES
45'
Victor Braga
Rio Branco ES
64'
Tenner
Rio Branco ES
71'
Tenner
Rio Branco ES

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.6%
1.06
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.97
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Rio Branco ES Win 43.5%
Draw 38.1%
Porto BA Win 18.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Branco ES1.42
Porto BA1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Porto BA Porto BA
WLDWL
9 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 9 matches
Porto BA Porto BA 9 matches
Rio Branco ES Statistic Porto BA
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
10 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 17
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Porto BA. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Porto BA having the stronger overall control. Porto BA arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rio Branco ES Analysis

Placed 4 with 10 points from 9 outings, Rio Branco ES continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 10:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Breninho (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Porto BA Analysis

Porto BA approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 10 points from 9 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luan Rodrigues (4 goals), Cesinha (3 goals), Firmino (2 goals), with creative support from Luan Rodrigues (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Rio Branco ES won 1 times, Porto BA won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Rio Branco ES's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.6%)
H2H summary: Rio Branco ES wins 1, draws 0, Porto BA wins 1
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
14.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Nova Iguaçu
0
0
D
04.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
Last matches: Porto BA
30.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
1
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
H2H: Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA
14.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
L
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
24.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
04.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
2
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Rio Branco ES
14.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
Last matches: Porto BA
25.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
0
3
L
H2H away: Porto BA
14.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.24
Draw 3.81
Home 1.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.38
Over 2.0 1.51
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.24
Over 3.0 2.75
Over 3.25 3.09
Under 1.5 3.01
Under 1.75 2.68
Under 2.0 2.36
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.0 1.37
Under 3.25 1.31
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.80
Home 1.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.20
Home 1.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.50
Home 1.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.15
Draw 3.85
Home 1.39
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.08
Home 1.98
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.18
Draw 2.59
Home 1.71
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.21
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.04
Over 3.5 3.34
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.75
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 8.90
Under 1.0 6.75
Under 1.25 4.04
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.70
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.95
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 2.75 1.53
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.29
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.90
Home 1.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.28
Home 1.94
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 2.63
Home 1.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.60
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.22

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)