PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Referee: F. Verissimo
Rio Ave
Match Timeline
GIL Vicente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Fernandez ↔ A. Moreira
GIL Vicente
🔄
58'
H. Hernandez ↔ G. Varela
GIL Vicente
🟨
63'
Ryan Guilherme
Rio Ave
🔄
63'
D. Spikic ↔ O. Pohlmann
Rio Ave
🟨
69'
Zé Carlos
GIL Vicente
🔄
79'
Ze Carlos ↔ Bermejo
GIL Vicente
🔄
82'
N. Abbey ↔ O. Richards
Rio Ave
🔄
83'
M. Vrousai ↔ J. Tome
Rio Ave
🔄
87'
Ryan Guilherme ↔ G. Liavas
Rio Ave
🔄
87'
T. Monteiro ↔ A. Papakanellos
Rio Ave
🔄
87'
Murilo de Souza ↔ Carlos Eduardo
GIL Vicente
🟨
88'
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
GIL Vicente

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 28.2%
Draw 18.8%
GIL Vicente Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.05
GIL Vicente1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WWDLW
33 GF / 52 GA
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WLDWL
46 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
16
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
16
3.97
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 31 matches
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 31 matches
Rio Ave Statistic GIL Vicente
8 Wins 13
10 Draws 10
13 Losses 8
33 Goals For 46
52 Goals Against 32
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
16 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 7
3.97 Shots On Goal 4.71
10.29 Total Shots 13.9
4.23 Corners 5.65
47.1% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights GIL Vicente's more proactive style and Rio Ave's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors GIL Vicente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Rio Ave Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Rio Ave have collected 34 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 33:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Clayton (10 goals), Andre Luiz (7 goals), J. Blesa (6 goals), with creative support from Andre Luiz (5 assists), Clayton (4 assists), D. Spikic (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

GIL Vicente Analysis

GIL Vicente sit 6 with 49 points after 31 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 46:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Murilo de Souza (11 goals), Pablo (10 goals), G. Varela (6 goals), with creative support from L. Esteves (7 assists), Murilo de Souza (4 assists), Santi García (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 3 times, GIL Vicente won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Rio Ave's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 3, draws 6, GIL Vicente wins 6
Stats
Rio Ave Rio Ave
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 7
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 8
10 Blocked Shots 3
16 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
336 Total passes 429
261 Passes accurate 356
1.58 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rio Ave
Formation
GIL Vicente
C. Miszta
C. Miszta
M. Vrousai
M. Vrousai
F. Petrasso
F. Petrasso
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha
N. Abbey
N. Abbey
T. Nikitscher
T. Nikitscher
Ryan Guilherme
Ryan Guilherme
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra
J. Blesa
J. Blesa
D. Spikic
D. Spikic
T. Monteiro
T. Monteiro
Figueira Daniel
Figueira Daniel
Ze Carlos
Ze Carlos
M. Elimbi
M. Elimbi
J. Buatu
J. Buatu
G. Konan
G. Konan
Ze Carlos
Ze Carlos
L. Esteves
L. Esteves
Murilo de Souza
Murilo de Souza
S. Garcia
S. Garcia
M. Fernandez
M. Fernandez
H. Hernandez
H. Hernandez
Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Miszta
G
17
M. Vrousai
↓ 83'
D
23
F. Petrasso
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
6
N. Abbey
↓ 82'
D
44
T. Nikitscher
M
8
Ryan Guilherme
↓ 87' 🟨 63'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
11
J. Blesa
M
18
D. Spikic
↓ 63'
M
9
T. Monteiro
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
99
E. van der Gouw
G
32
J. Brabec
D
77
O. Richards
↑ 82'
D
54
G. Liavas
↑ 87'
M
80
O. Pohlmann
↑ 63'
M
20
J. Tome
↑ 83'
D
25
Rafael Lobato
F
63
J. Lomboto
D
19
A. Papakanellos
↑ 87'
M
GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
Figueira Daniel
G
2
Ze Carlos
D
4
M. Elimbi
🟨 88'
D
39
J. Buatu
D
3
G. Konan
D
6
Ze Carlos
↓ 79' 🟨 69'
M
10
L. Esteves
M
77
Murilo de Souza
↓ 87'
M
95
S. Garcia
M
32
M. Fernandez
↓ 46'
M
23
H. Hernandez
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
30
Lucao
G
17
Bermejo
↑ 79'
F
20
S. Hevertton
D
48
A. Espigares
D
27
A. Moreira
↑ 46'
F
11
J. Fernandes
F
5
F. Caseres
M
89
G. Varela
↑ 58'
F
29
Carlos Eduardo
↑ 87'
F
Last matches: Rio Ave
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
Last matches: GIL Vicente
18.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
08.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
5
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
1
W
02.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
1
1
D
28.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
2
2
D
20.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
2
D
H2H: Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente
03.05.26
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
20.12.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
2
D
02.08.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
3
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
06.01.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
1
D
24.07.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
17.09.22
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
2
D
03.04.21
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
29.11.20
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
0
L
05.07.20
H2H
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
0
L
21.12.19
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
09.12.19
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
13.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
L
30.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
0
4
L
05.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
2
2
D
17.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rio Ave
03.05.26
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
16.05.25
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
03.04.21
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
21.12.19
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
09.12.19
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
Last matches: GIL Vicente
16.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
3
L
28.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
1
D
08.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
0
0
D
09.11.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
4
0
W
26.09.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
0
W
H2H away: GIL Vicente
03.05.26
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
16.05.25
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
3
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
1
L
03.04.21
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
2
W
21.12.19
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
W
09.12.19
H2H
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
1
0
L