PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
15.03.2026 18:00
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Referee: F. Verissimo
Rio Ave
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Jakub Brabec
Rio Ave
🟨
15'
Max Scholze
Estrela
⚽
27'
J. Blesa · Assist: D. Spikic
Rio Ave
🟨
45+1'
Ole Pohlmann
Rio Ave
⚽
48'
J. Blesa · Assist: D. Spikic
Rio Ave
🔄
54'
I. Stoica ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
54'
Otavio ↔ G. Doue
Estrela
🔄
58'
O. Pohlmann ↔ Ryan Guilherme
Rio Ave
⚽
65'
Rodrigo Pinho · Assist: Robinho
Estrela
🟨
67'
Ennio Van Der Gouw
Rio Ave
🟨
68'
Ryan Guilherme
Rio Ave
🔄
75'
D. Spikic ↔ J. Tome
Rio Ave
🔄
75'
N. Abbey ↔ T. Monteiro
Rio Ave
🟨
80'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
🔄
83'
M. Scholze ↔ L. Antonetti
Estrela
🔄
88'
Diogo Bezerra ↔ G. Liavas
Rio Ave
🔄
89'
J. Blesa ↔ F. Petrasso
Rio Ave
🔄
89'
B. Langa ↔ Y. Kalley
Estrela
🔄
89'
Luan Patrick ↔ T. Moustier
Estrela

Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estrela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.26
Estrela1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WWDLW
24 GF / 44 GA
Estrela Estrela
WLDWL
28 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
12
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
13
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 25 matches
Estrela Estrela 25 matches
Rio Ave Statistic Estrela
5 Wins 5
9 Draws 10
11 Losses 10
24 Goals For 28
44 Goals Against 43
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
12 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 11
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.64
9.64 Total Shots 10.76
3.76 Corners 3.28
46.5% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 5 times, Estrela won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from Rio Ave's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Estrela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 5, draws 2, Estrela wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2