LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks
Referee: P. Gryckiewicz
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
Riga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS
27'
M. Badamosi
Riga
🔄
36'
D. Korac ↔ A. Balde
Rīgas FS
51'
R. Ndjiki · Assist: Z. Lipuscek
Rīgas FS
53'
Caio Ferreira · Assist: M. Badamosi
Riga
🟨
58'
K. Wassom
Riga
🔄
59'
S. L. Robalo Pedro ↔ Iago Siqueira
Riga
🟨
64'
Iago Siqueira
Riga
65'
Z. Lipuscek · Assist: S. Panic
Rīgas FS
🔄
71'
Caio Ferreira ↔ M. Diop
Riga
🔄
71'
R. Jurkovskis ↔ A. Salazar
Riga
77'
S. Panic
Riga
🟨
79'
A. Salazar
Riga
80'
S. Panic · Assist: A. Balde
Rīgas FS
🔄
83'
R. Ndjiki ↔ D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
84'
L. Odisharia ↔ S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
🔄
84'
S. Oulad M'Hand ↔ Paulo Eduardo
Riga
🔄
84'
M. Badamosi ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 49.1%
Draw 17.3%
Riga Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS1.79
Riga1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
99 GF / 38 GA
Riga Riga
WLDWL
103 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
2.64
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
22
BTTS Yes
24
24
Over 2.5
30
1.29
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 43 matches
Riga Riga 39 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Riga
32 Wins 28
6 Draws 7
5 Losses 4
99 Goals For 103
38 Goals Against 40
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 2.64
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
22 BTTS Yes 24
34 Over 1.5 35
24 Over 2.5 30
17 Over 3.5 21
18 Clean Sheets 14
3 Failed To Score 3
1.29 Shots On Goal 3
0 Total Shots 7
1.43 Corners 3.25
16% Ball Possession 28.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Riga. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 65 points after 25 outings. With 21 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 62:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Riga Analysis

Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 64 points after 25 matches. The return of 20 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 76:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 4 times, Riga won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:23 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1 / Riga 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 4, draws 7, Riga wins 4

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 3 2 68:20 48 69
W D W W W
2
Riga Away
27 20 5 2 81:27 54 65
L D W W W
3 27 16 5 6 44:27 17 53
D W W W W
4 28 12 4 12 39:41 -2 40
W L W W L
5 28 10 7 11 33:32 1 37
L D W W L
6 28 8 7 13 32:47 -15 31
W W L L L
7 26 8 5 13 27:38 -11 29
D D L W L
8 28 5 9 14 20:50 -30 24
W L L L D
9 28 4 8 16 41:58 -17 20
L L L W L
10 27 3 5 19 26:71 -45 14
L L L D L