Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.10 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.47 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Riga
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
31 matches
Tukums
25 matches
| Riga | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 4 | Losses | 12 |
| 82 | Goals For | 42 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 2.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 8 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 1 | Corners | 0 |
| 26.5% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Riga's more proactive style and Tukums's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tukums. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 55 points compared to Tukums in 9 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Riga approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 55 points after 22 outings. The return of 17 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 65:19, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Tukums sit 9 with 17 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 37:44, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 12 times, Tukums won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 53:8 from Riga's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
Riga
Žilina
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|