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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
17.10.2026 12:45
Stade Charlety

Gobelins vs Rouen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gobelins Win 35%
Draw 10.7%
Rouen Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gobelins1.02
Rouen1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gobelins Gobelins
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
Rouen Rouen
WLDWL
20 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
7
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gobelins Gobelins 13 matches
Rouen Rouen 12 matches
Gobelins Statistic Rouen
5 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
17 Goals For 20
17 Goals Against 7
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
7 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rouen's more proactive style and Gobelins's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rouen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 20 points while Gobelins sit 11 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rouen having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rouen. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gobelins Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Gobelins have collected 12 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rouen Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 20 points from 9 games, Rouen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Gobelins won 1 times, Rouen won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Gobelins's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
H2H summary: Gobelins wins 1, draws 2, Rouen wins 3

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2
Rouen Away
9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation