Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Riga
Super Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
21 matches
Super Nova
18 matches
| Riga | Statistic | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 59 | Goals For | 23 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 30 points compared to Super Nova in 5 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Super Nova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 13 games, Riga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 42:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (8 goals), Iago Siqueira (6 goals), S. Panic (6 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), A. Cernomordijs (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 17 points from 13 outings, Super Nova continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Glaudans (3 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), V. Lizunovs (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 13 times, Super Nova won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 48:9 from Riga's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
Riga
Žilina
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Super Nova
Away
|
22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|