LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Referee: A. Anufrijevs
Riga
Match Timeline
Ogre United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
O. Galo · Assist: Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🟨
21'
Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
42'
M. Badamosi · Assist: Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🔄
46'
E. Birka ↔ B. Musah
Riga
🔄
46'
M. Pacepko ↔ K. Johnson
Ogre United
53'
Reginaldo Ramires · Assist: R. Varslavans
Riga
🔄
56'
R. Varslavans ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🔄
63'
O. Galo ↔ S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga
🔄
66'
E. Sprukts ↔ F. Machado
Ogre United
🟨
74'
H. Silagailis
Ogre United
🔄
80'
M. Ivulans ↔ M. Marusii
Ogre United
🔄
81'
Reginaldo Ramires ↔ Juan Christian
Riga
🔄
82'
R. Jurkovskis ↔ M. Diop
Riga
87'
S. Oulad M'Hand · Assist: A. Cernomordijs
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 100%
Draw 0%
Ogre United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.25
Ogre United0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
39 GF / 19 GA
Ogre United Ogre United
WLDWL
6 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
11
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 14 matches
Ogre United Ogre United 9 matches
Riga Statistic Ogre United
9 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 6
39 Goals For 6
19 Goals Against 13
2.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
11 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 7
13 Over 2.5 3
7 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ogre United. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Riga Analysis

Riga approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 16 points after 7 outings. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 18:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Iago Siqueira (5 goals), M. Badamosi (5 goals), Reginaldo Ramires (4 goals), with creative support from A. Salazar (5 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), R. Jurkovskis (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United sit 10 with 3 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 3:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Cudars (2 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), K. Volkovs (1 goals), with creative support from D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 2 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:1 from Riga's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Riga 3-5-2 / Ogre United -
H2H summary: Riga wins 2, draws 0, Ogre United wins 0

Lineups

Riga
Formation
Ogre United
K. Zviedris
K. Zviedris
R. Jurkovskis
R. Jurkovskis
A. Cernomordijs
🎯
A. Cernomordijs
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo
E. Birka
E. Birka
A. Ankrah
A. Ankrah
R. Varslavans
🎯
R. Varslavans
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira
O. Galo
O. Galo
M. Badamosi
M. Badamosi
Reginaldo Ramires
🎯
Reginaldo Ramires
K. Biscuhis
K. Biscuhis
M. Lormanis
M. Lormanis
T. Mickevics
T. Mickevics
K. Hayashi
K. Hayashi
E. Sprukts
E. Sprukts
K. Cudars
K. Cudars
T. Marusiy
T. Marusiy
V. Mashchenko
V. Mashchenko
M. Ivulans
M. Ivulans
M. Pacepko
M. Pacepko
H. Silagailis
H. Silagailis
Riga 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Zviedris
13
R. Jurkovskis
↓ 82'
34
A. Cernomordijs
🎯 87'
33
Paulo Eduardo
27
E. Birka
↓ 46'
40
A. Ankrah
14
R. Varslavans
🎯 53' ↓ 56'
8
Iago Siqueira
4
O. Galo
⚽ 16' ↓ 63'
19
M. Badamosi
⚽ 42'
10
Reginaldo Ramires
⚽ 53' 🎯 16' 🎯 42' ↓ 81' 🟨 21'
Substitutes
91
F. Orols
44
M. Kazainis
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
⚽ 87' ↑ 63'
21
B. Musah
↑ 46'
99
Caio Ferreira
↑ 56'
5
K. Wassom
70
Juan Christian
↑ 81'
22
M. Diop
↑ 82'
3
Abner
Ogre United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
20
K. Biscuhis
37
M. Lormanis
8
T. Mickevics
5
K. Hayashi
23
E. Sprukts
↓ 66'
19
K. Cudars
3
T. Marusiy
17
V. Mashchenko
21
M. Ivulans
↓ 80'
11
M. Pacepko
↓ 46'
9
H. Silagailis
🟨 74'
Substitutes
1
N. Parfjonovs
32
L. Dalbins
6
D. Vejkrigers
14
R. Aditajs
28
D. Sedols
7
K. Kumakura
77
M. Marusii
↑ 80'
99
F. Machado
↑ 66'
47
K. Johnson
↑ 46'
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
Last matches: Ogre United
19.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
L
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
H2H: Riga vs Ogre United
13.06.26
H2H
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
W
22.04.26
H2H
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
Last matches: Riga
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
27.01.26
Fri
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Riga
Žilina
3
2
W
27.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
2
1
W
H2H at home: Riga
22.04.26
H2H
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
Last matches: Ogre United
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
06.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
H2H away: Ogre United
22.04.26
H2H
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
L