LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
29.05.2026 15:00
Skonto stadions
Referee: S. Vasjkovs
Riga
Match Timeline
Grobiņa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
R. Jurkovskis · Assist: M. Tonisevs
Riga
🟨
65'
M. Sidorovs
Grobiņa
🔄
66'
M. Fjodorovs ↔ J. Ribeiro
Grobiņa
🔄
66'
O. Rascevskis ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
🔄
73'
M. Diop ↔ R. Aouani
Riga
🔄
73'
Caio Ferreira ↔ Juan Christian
Riga
🔄
86'
M. Sidorovs ↔ R. Gaucis
Grobiņa
🔄
86'
J. Krautmanis ↔ I. Matyushenko
Grobiņa
🟨
90+1'
M. Badamosi
Riga
🔄
90+3'
M. Tonisevs ↔ Abner
Riga
⚽
90'
M. Badamosi
Riga

Riga vs Grobiņa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 79.7%
Draw 0%
Grobiņa Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.35
Grobiņa1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
62 GF / 27 GA
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WLDWL
24 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.82
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
16
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 22 matches
Grobiņa Grobiņa 22 matches
Riga Statistic Grobiņa
15 Wins 4
4 Draws 10
3 Losses 8
62 Goals For 24
27 Goals Against 36
2.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
16 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 17
20 Over 2.5 7
13 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Riga's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 33 points compared to Grobiņa in 9 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Grobiņa.

Riga Analysis

Riga approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 33 points after 14 outings. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 45:17, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (9 goals), D. Lemajic (6 goals), Iago Siqueira (6 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), R. Savalnieks (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Grobiņa Analysis

So far, Grobiņa have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 12 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 9:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Puzirevskis (4 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), with creative support from M. Sidorovs (2 assists), A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 10 times, Grobiņa won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:2 from Riga's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Riga 4-2-3-1 / Grobiņa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Riga wins 10, draws 1, Grobiņa wins 0

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 5 2 71:22 49 74
D W D W D
2
Riga Home
31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
3 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 30 10 5 15 29:40 -11 35
L L W W D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 31 5 11 15 21:52 -31 26
D D L W L
9 31 5 9 17 44:61 -17 24
D L W L L
10 31 4 6 21 30:76 -46 18
W L D L L