LATVIA › VIRSLIGA

07.09.2026 16:00

Riga

1 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

Skonto stadions

Referee: J. Keziks

Riga

Match Timeline

BFC Daugavpils

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🔄

⚽

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 74.5%

Odds 1.20

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.8%

Odds 1.83

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.6%

Odds 1.38

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	74.5%	1.20	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.8%	1.83	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	1.38	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	92%	1.28	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	1.73	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Riga Win 74.5%

Draw 4.3%

BFC Daugavpils Win 21.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga2.1

BFC Daugavpils1.11

Recent Form (Last 5)

Riga

WWDLW

110 GF / 47 GA

BFC Daugavpils

WLDWL

40 GF / 47 GA

Key Stats

2.62

Average Goals Scored

1.11

1.12

Average Goals Conceded

1.31

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.73

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga 42 matches

BFC Daugavpils 36 matches

Riga	Statistic	BFC Daugavpils
29	Wins	12
8	Draws	7
5	Losses	17
110	Goals For	40
47	Goals Against	47
2.62	Avg Goals Scored	1.11
1.12	Avg Goals Conceded	1.31
27	BTTS Yes	17
38	Over 1.5	21
33	Over 2.5	15
23	Over 3.5	10
14	Clean Sheets	9
3	Failed To Score	13
2.73	Shots On Goal	0
5.09	Total Shots	0
3.18	Corners	0
25.4%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 11 times, BFC Daugavpils won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:7 from Riga's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)

Predicted formations: Riga 4-2-3-1 / BFC Daugavpils 4-4-2

H2H summary: Riga wins 11, draws 3, BFC Daugavpils wins 1

Standings

Virsliga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Rīgas FS	28	22	4	2	68:20	48	70	D W D W W
2	Riga Home	29	20	7	2	84:30	54	67	D D L D W
3	Auda	29	17	6	6	47:29	18	57	D W D W W
4	FK Liepaja	30	12	6	12	41:43	-2	42	D D W L W
5	BFC Daugavpils Away	29	10	8	11	34:33	1	38	D L D W W
6	Super Nova	28	10	5	13	29:38	-9	35	W W D D L
7	FS Jelgava	30	8	8	14	32:48	-16	32	D L W W L
8	Grobiņa	30	5	10	15	20:51	-31	25	D L W L L
9	Tukums	30	5	8	17	43:60	-17	23	L W L L L
10	Ogre United	29	3	6	20	29:75	-46	15	D L L L L