Riga
Match Timeline
BFC Daugavpils
Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 74.5%
Draw 4.3%
BFC Daugavpils Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.1
BFC Daugavpils1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga
WWDLW
110 GF / 47 GA
BFC Daugavpils
WLDWL
40 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.62
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
27
BTTS Yes
17
33
Over 2.5
15
4.25
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
42 matches
BFC Daugavpils
36 matches
| Riga | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 17 |
| 110 | Goals For | 40 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 2.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 33 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 23 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 9 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 5.88 | Corners | 0 |
| 41% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 11 times, BFC Daugavpils won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:7 from Riga's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Riga 4-2-3-1 / BFC Daugavpils 4-4-2
H2H summary: Riga wins 11, draws 3, BFC Daugavpils wins 1
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 75:24 | 51 | 77 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88:30 | 58 | 76 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 64 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 43 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 31:41 | -10 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22:54 | -32 | 26 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44:63 | -19 | 24 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31:78 | -47 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
