Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- |
Ried
Grazer AK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ried
32 matches
Grazer AK
28 matches
| Ried | Statistic | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 12 |
| 45 | Goals For | 32 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.3 |
| 12.19 | Total Shots | 9.89 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 46.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ried expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grazer AK in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grazer AK having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Grazer AK.
Ried come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 22 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 33:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Mutandwa (12 goals), Peter Kiedl (4 goals), Philipp Pomer (4 goals), with creative support from Philipp Pomer (4 assists), A. Bajic (3 assists), A. van Wyk (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grazer AK approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 20 points after 27 outings. The return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 31:39, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Harakate (11 goals), D. Maderner (6 goals), Alexander Hofleitner (4 goals), with creative support from R. Harakate (4 assists), D. Maderner (2 assists), Alexander Hofleitner (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which underlines a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 1 times, Grazer AK won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Ried's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Ried
6
2
7
2
4
1
Lineups
Ried
Austria Salzburg
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
SCR Altach
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
FC BW Linz
Ried
WSG Wattens
Ried
Grazer AK
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
SCR Altach
Ried
WSPG Wels
Ried
FC BW Linz
Ried
Lask Linz
Ried
WSG Wattens
Ried
Austria Vienna
Ried
Grazer AK
Ried
WSG Wattens
Ried
Lask Linz
Ried
Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
Slovan Bratislava
Grazer AK
Gyori ETO FC
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
SV Kapfenberg
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
Ried
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
Red Bull Salzburg
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
Grazer AK
Voitsberg
Grazer AK
Radomlje
Ried
Austria Salzburg
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
FC BW Linz
Ried
SCR Altach
Ried
WSPG Wels
Ried
Lask Linz
Ried
WSG Wattens
Ried
Austria Vienna
Ried
Lask Linz
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Ried
Austria Salzburg
Ried
České Budějovice
Ried
SCR Altach
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
FC BW Linz
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Ried
WSG Wattens
Ried
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
Grazer AK
Radomlje
Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
Rapid Vienna
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
Grazer AK
Lask Linz
Grazer AK
Ried
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Grazer AK
Red Bull Salzburg
Grazer AK
Dornbirn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 37 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
Ried
Home
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
?
|
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Grazer AK
Away
|
22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
?
|
| 12 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 15 |
?
|