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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
17.10.2026 17:30
Josko Arena
Referee: Manuel Baumann

Ried vs Austria Vienna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.1%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 45.5%
Draw 13.9%
Austria Vienna Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.78
Austria Vienna1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
45 GF / 37 GA
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
WLDWL
52 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
17
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
14
5.25
Shots on Goal
3.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 21 matches
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 25 matches
Ried Statistic Austria Vienna
9 Wins 12
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 8
45 Goals For 52
37 Goals Against 31
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
17 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 6
5.25 Shots On Goal 3.21
15.38 Total Shots 9.93
4 Corners 4
46.9% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austria Vienna. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ried expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Austria Vienna in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austria Vienna having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ried Analysis

Placed 5 with 8 points from 7 outings, Ried continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Schwab (2 goals), Evan Eghosa Aisowieren (2 goals), N. Sissoko (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bajić (3 assists), S. Schwab (1 assists), J. Nasrawe (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Austria Vienna Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Austria Vienna have collected 7 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 7:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Fischer (2 goals), J. Hettwer (2 goals), K. Boateng (1 goals), with creative support from K. Boateng (2 assists), M. Fischer (1 assists), Lee Tae-Seok (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 2 times, Austria Vienna won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:37 from Ried's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Ried 3-4-2-1 / Austria Vienna 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Ried wins 2, draws 2, Austria Vienna wins 11

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 23:7 16 21
W W W L W
2 8 5 3 0 18:4 14 18
D W D W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:9 10 16
L D L W W
4 8 4 2 2 10:9 1 14
W L W L D
5
Ried Home
8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L W
6 8 3 2 3 14:16 -2 11
W D D W W
7 8 2 3 3 6:16 -10 9
D D W D L
8 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L W L L D
9 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L L D W W
10 8 2 1 5 7:15 -8 7
L D W L L
11 8 2 0 6 8:12 -4 6
W L L L L
12 8 1 2 5 7:16 -9 5
L L L L D
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)