FRANCE LIGUE 1
23.08.2026 18:45
Roazhon Park
Referee: Bastien Dechepy, France
Rennes
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Sebastian Szymański · Assist: Adrien Thomasson
Rennes
38'
Esteban Lepaul · Assist: Przemysław Frankowski
Rennes
🟨
42'
Adrien Thomasson
Rennes
🔄
46'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ↔ Mika Godts
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
46'
Ousmane Dembélé ↔ Ferran Torres
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
60'
Warren Zaïre-Emery ↔ Maghnes Akliouche
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
60'
João Neves ↔ Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
63'
Mousa Tamari
Rennes
🔄
69'
Vitinha ↔ Lucas Beraldo
Paris Saint Germain
71'
Ferran Torres · Assist: Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
72'
Mousa Tamari ↔ Ludovic Blas
Rennes
🟨
76'
Marquinhos
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
78'
Sebastian Szymański ↔ Henrick Do Marcolino
Rennes
🔄
78'
Mahamadou Nagida ↔ Quentin Merlin
Rennes
82'
Ferran Torres · Assist: Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
84'
Achraf Hakimi
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
88'
Przemysław Frankowski ↔ Bryan Reynolds
Rennes
🔄
88'
Issa Soumaré ↔ Arnaud Nordin
Rennes

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rennes Win 57.1%
Draw 12.3%
Paris Saint Germain Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rennes1.78
Paris Saint Germain1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rennes Rennes
WWDLW
13 GF / 15 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rennes Rennes 7 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 matches
Rennes Statistic Paris Saint Germain
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 1
13 Goals For 3
15 Goals Against 5
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
7 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 3
7 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 6
0 Total Shots 12
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rennes won 4 times, Paris Saint Germain won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Rennes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Rennes 4-1-4-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
Missing players: Rennes 2, Paris Saint Germain 3
H2H summary: Rennes wins 4, draws 3, Paris Saint Germain wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
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Relegation