FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Roazhon Park
Referee: T. Leonard
Rennes
Match Timeline
Paris FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
I. Kebbal ↔ M. Lopez
Paris FC
53'
W. Geubbels
Paris FC
🔄
66'
L. Blas ↔ B. Embolo
Rennes
🔄
67'
S. Szymanski ↔ A. Nordin
Rennes
🔄
71'
W. Geubbels ↔ C. Immobile
Paris FC
74'
E. Lepaul · Assist: Q. Merlin
Rennes
75'
D. Coppola
Rennes
🔄
76'
M. Nagida ↔ A. Seidu
Rennes
🔄
76'
H. Traore ↔ A. Camara
Paris FC
🔄
77'
A. Gory ↔ J. Ikone
Paris FC
🔄
83'
P. Lees-Melou ↔ V. Marchetti
Paris FC
🟨
87'
Maxime López
Paris FC
🔄
87'
E. Lepaul ↔ D. Cisse
Rennes
🟨
89'
Ciro Immobile
Paris FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rennes Win 62.3%
Draw 3.9%
Paris FC Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rennes1.62
Paris FC1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rennes Rennes
WWDLW
62 GF / 50 GA
Paris FC Paris FC
WLDWL
48 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
19
BTTS Yes
19
25
Over 2.5
18
5.17
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rennes Rennes 35 matches
Paris FC Paris FC 35 matches
Rennes Statistic Paris FC
18 Wins 12
8 Draws 11
9 Losses 12
62 Goals For 48
50 Goals Against 49
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
19 BTTS Yes 19
29 Over 1.5 25
25 Over 2.5 18
17 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 10
5.17 Shots On Goal 3.91
14.83 Total Shots 11.54
6.11 Corners 4.46
54.3% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Rennes's more proactive style and Paris FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paris FC. Rennes come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rennes expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Paris FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Paris FC having the stronger overall control.

Rennes Analysis

Rennes come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 56 points after 32 matches. With 16 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 56:46, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Embolo (8 goals), Mousa Tamari (6 goals), L. Blas (5 goals), with creative support from Mousa Tamari (6 assists), Valentin Rongier (5 assists), L. Blas (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Paris FC Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Paris FC have collected 41 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 44:47 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Kebbal (9 goals), M. Munetsi (4 goals), W. Geubbels (4 goals), with creative support from I. Kebbal (4 assists), M. Simon (3 assists), M. Lopez (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Rennes won 2 times, Paris FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Rennes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Rennes 4-4-2 / Paris FC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Rennes 2, Paris FC 3
H2H summary: Rennes wins 2, draws 0, Paris FC wins 0
Stats
Rennes Rennes
Paris FC Paris FC
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
8 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 5
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
423 Total passes 420
331 Passes accurate 336
1.77 expected_goals 1.20
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rennes
Formation
Paris FC
B. Samba
B. Samba
M. Nagida
M. Nagida
A. Ait Boudlal
A. Ait Boudlal
A. Rouault
A. Rouault
Q. Merlin
🎯
Q. Merlin
S. Szymanski
S. Szymanski
V. Rongier
V. Rongier
M. Camara
M. Camara
M. Tamari
M. Tamari
E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
L. Blas
L. Blas
K. Trapp
K. Trapp
H. Traore
H. Traore
D. Coppola
D. Coppola
M. Mbow
M. Mbow
N. Sangui
N. Sangui
P. Lees-Melou
P. Lees-Melou
R. Matondo
R. Matondo
A. Gory
A. Gory
I. Kebbal
I. Kebbal
L. Koleosho
L. Koleosho
W. Geubbels
W. Geubbels
Rennes 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
B. Samba
G
18
M. Nagida
↓ 76'
D
48
A. Ait Boudlal
D
24
A. Rouault
D
26
Q. Merlin
🎯 74'
D
17
S. Szymanski
↓ 67'
M
21
V. Rongier
M
45
M. Camara
M
11
M. Tamari
F
9
E. Lepaul
⚽ 74' ↓ 87'
F
10
L. Blas
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
60
K. Belazzoug
G
70
A. Nordin
↑ 67'
F
36
A. Seidu
↑ 76'
D
77
Y. Zabiri
F
4
G. Kamara
M
7
B. Embolo
↑ 66'
F
3
L. Brassier
D
65
N. Mukiele
F
6
D. Cisse
↑ 87'
M
Paris FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
35
K. Trapp
G
14
H. Traore
↓ 76'
D
42
D. Coppola
⚽ 75'
D
5
M. Mbow
D
19
N. Sangui
D
33
P. Lees-Melou
↓ 83'
M
23
R. Matondo
M
7
A. Gory
↓ 77'
M
10
I. Kebbal
↓ 46'
M
24
L. Koleosho
M
9
W. Geubbels
⚽ 53' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
16
O. Nkambadio
G
36
C. Immobile
↑ 71' 🟨 89'
F
21
M. Lopez
↑ 46' 🟨 87'
M
93
J. Ikone
↑ 77'
F
17
A. Camara
↑ 76'
M
27
M. Simon
F
4
V. Marchetti
↑ 83'
M
18
M. Munetsi
M
6
Otavio
D
Last matches: Rennes
25.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Guingamp
3
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Caen
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Marseille
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Lyon
2
4
L
26.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Nantes
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Strasbourg
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Angers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
4
3
W
22.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Metz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Lille
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Nice
4
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Toulouse
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Auxerre
3
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Lens
1
3
L
03.02.26
Cou
Rennes
Marseille
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Monaco
0
4
L
24.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Lorient
0
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Le Havre
1
1
D
Last matches: Paris FC
18.07.26
Fri
Paris FC
Reims
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
4
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lille
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Metz
3
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Monaco
4
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lorient
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Le Havre
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Strasbourg
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lyon
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Nice
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Toulouse
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lens
0
5
L
08.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Auxerre
0
0
D
04.02.26
Cou
Paris FC
Lorient
0
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Marseille
2
2
D
25.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Angers
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Nantes
2
1
W
12.01.26
Cou
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
04.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
H2H: Rennes vs Paris FC
10.05.26
H2H
Rennes
Paris FC
2
1
W
07.11.25
H2H
Paris FC
Rennes
0
1
W
Last matches: Rennes
25.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Guingamp
3
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Caen
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Nantes
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Angers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Metz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Lille
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Toulouse
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Lorient
0
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Le Havre
1
1
D
21.12.25
Cou
Rennes
Les Sables-d'Olonne
3
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
W
22.11.25
Lig
Rennes
Monaco
4
1
W
02.11.25
Lig
Rennes
Strasbourg
4
1
W
26.10.25
Lig
Rennes
Nice
1
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
Rennes
Auxerre
2
2
D
28.09.25
Lig
Rennes
Lens
0
0
D
14.09.25
Lig
Rennes
Lyon
3
1
W
15.08.25
Lig
Rennes
Marseille
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rennes
10.05.26
H2H
Rennes
Paris FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Paris FC
19.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lorient
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Strasbourg
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lyon
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Toulouse
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Auxerre
0
0
D
04.02.26
Cou
Paris FC
Lorient
0
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Nantes
2
1
W
12.01.26
Cou
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
04.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cou
Paris FC
Raon l'Etape
3
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Paris FC
Le Havre
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Paris FC
Lille
2
4
L
01.11.25
Lig
Paris FC
Monaco
1
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
Paris FC
Lens
1
2
L
28.09.25
Lig
Paris FC
Nice
1
1
D
14.09.25
Lig
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
23.08.25
Lig
Paris FC
Marseille
2
5
L
17.08.25
Lig
Paris FC
Angers
0
1
L
30.10.19
Cou
Paris FC
Nantes
0
8
L
H2H away: Paris FC
10.05.26
H2H
Rennes
Paris FC
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Rennes 2 missing
-
P. Frankowski
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Jacquet
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
Paris FC 3 missing
-
S. Alakouch
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Hamel
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
J. Lopez
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT