ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Referee: M. Guida
Reggiana
Match Timeline
Sampdoria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
F. Vicari ↔ A. Papetti
Reggiana
🟨
32'
Fabio Depaoli
Sampdoria
🟨
43'
Cedric Gondo
Reggiana
🔄
46'
M. Rover ↔ A. Novakovich
Reggiana
🔄
57'
C. Gondo ↔ N. Girma
Reggiana
🔄
69'
A. Barak ↔ E. Soleri
Sampdoria
🔄
69'
F. Depaoli ↔ S. Giordano
Sampdoria
🟨
75'
Tobías Reinhart
Reggiana
76'
A. Novakovich · Assist: M. Portanova
Reggiana
🔄
78'
M. Cicconi ↔ S. Pafundi
Sampdoria
🔄
83'
M. Lambourde ↔ M. Bertagnoli
Reggiana
🔄
83'
T. Reinhart ↔ F. Vallarelli
Reggiana
🔄
87'
D. Hadzikadunic ↔ A. Ferrari
Sampdoria
🔄
87'
L. Henderson ↔ T. Casalino
Sampdoria

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Reggiana Win 27.7%
Draw 22.2%
Sampdoria Win 50.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Reggiana1.07
Sampdoria1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Reggiana Reggiana
WWDLW
36 GF / 57 GA
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WLDWL
36 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
22
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
15
3.26
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Reggiana Reggiana 38 matches
Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 matches
Reggiana Statistic Sampdoria
8 Wins 11
11 Draws 12
19 Losses 15
36 Goals For 36
57 Goals Against 48
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
22 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 13
3.26 Shots On Goal 3.53
10.39 Total Shots 12.45
3.55 Corners 4.79
41.4% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sampdoria carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 44 points while Reggiana sit 20 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Reggiana expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Sampdoria in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sampdoria having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sampdoria. Reggiana have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Reggiana Analysis

Reggiana sit 20 with 34 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 35:56 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Portanova (7 goals), A. Novakovich (4 goals), M. Lambourde (4 goals), with creative support from M. Bertagnoli (5 assists), M. Marras (4 assists), N. Girma (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sampdoria Analysis

Sampdoria are currently 12 in the standings with 44 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, while the 35:47 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Coda (9 goals), Fabio Depaoli (3 goals), Tjaš Begić (3 goals), with creative support from M. Coda (3 assists), Simone Pafundi (3 assists), O. Abildgaard (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Reggiana won 2 times, Sampdoria won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Reggiana's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Predicted formations: Reggiana 4-3-2-1 / Sampdoria 4-3-3
H2H summary: Reggiana wins 2, draws 1, Sampdoria wins 3
Stats
Reggiana Reggiana
Sampdoria Sampdoria
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 9
15 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 6
9 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
288 Total passes 615
225 Passes accurate 549
0.99 expected_goals 0.86
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Reggiana
Formation
Sampdoria
A. Micai
A. Micai
L. Libutti
L. Libutti
F. Vicari
F. Vicari
Mateus Lusuardi
Mateus Lusuardi
A. Bozzolan
A. Bozzolan
T. Reinhart
T. Reinhart
M. Lambourde
M. Lambourde
M. Portanova
🎯
M. Portanova
Charlys
Charlys
M. Rover
M. Rover
C. Gondo
C. Gondo
T. Martinelli
T. Martinelli
M. Palma
M. Palma
D. Hadzikadunic
D. Hadzikadunic
M. Viti
M. Viti
M. Cicconi
M. Cicconi
A. Barak
A. Barak
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
L. Henderson
L. Henderson
F. Depaoli
F. Depaoli
M. Coda
M. Coda
T. Begic
T. Begic
Reggiana 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Micai
G
17
L. Libutti
D
34
F. Vicari
↓ 10'
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
3
A. Bozzolan
D
16
T. Reinhart
↓ 83' 🟨 75'
M
93
M. Lambourde
↓ 83'
M
90
M. Portanova
🎯 76'
M
8
Charlys
M
23
M. Rover
↓ 46'
M
11
C. Gondo
↓ 57' 🟨 43'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Seculin
G
31
M. Sampirisi
D
14
D. Quaranta
D
10
K. Bozhanaj
M
26
M. Bertagnoli
↑ 83'
M
57
L. Belardinelli
M
77
T. Fumagalli
F
80
N. Girma
↑ 57'
F
9
A. Novakovich
⚽ 76' ↑ 46'
F
33
A. Tripaldelli
D
2
A. Papetti
↑ 10'
D
6
F. Vallarelli
↑ 83'
M
Sampdoria 4-3-3
Starting XI
50
T. Martinelli
G
13
M. Palma
D
17
D. Hadzikadunic
↓ 87'
D
2
M. Viti
D
7
M. Cicconi
↓ 78'
D
72
A. Barak
↓ 69'
M
94
S. Esposito
M
16
L. Henderson
↓ 87'
M
23
F. Depaoli
↓ 69' 🟨 32'
F
9
M. Coda
F
11
T. Begic
F
Substitutes
30
N. Ravaglia
G
1
S. Ghidotti
G
98
G. Coucke
G
25
A. Ferrari
↑ 87'
D
5
A. Riccio
D
34
T. Casalino
↑ 87'
M
8
M. Ricci
M
92
E. Soleri
↑ 69'
F
21
S. Giordano
↑ 69'
D
20
S. Pafundi
↑ 78'
M
35
S. Amarandei
F
38
K. Diop
Last matches: Reggiana
01.05.26
Ser
Reggiana
Modena
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Palermo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Padova
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Carrarese
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Pescara
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
0
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Monza
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Bari
1
4
L
07.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Venezia
0
2
L
03.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Sudtirol
0
4
L
28.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Spezia
1
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Avellino
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Empoli
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Mantova
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Catanzaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Frosinone
0
1
L
17.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Cesena
1
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Venezia
1
3
L
27.12.25
Ser
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
2
L
Last matches: Sampdoria
23.07.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Cagliari
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Taverne
2
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Cesena
0
0
D
17.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Monza
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Pescara
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Empoli
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Avellino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Carrarese
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Venezia
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Frosinone
0
3
L
04.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
27.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Bari
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Mantova
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Padova
1
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Palermo
3
3
D
07.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Modena
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Spezia
1
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
0
0
D
16.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
H2H: Reggiana vs Sampdoria
08.05.26
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
0
W
27.12.25
H2H
Sampdoria
Reggiana
2
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
2
2
D
24.08.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Reggiana
0
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Reggiana
1
0
L
16.12.23
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
2
L
Last matches: Reggiana
25.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Palermo
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Carrarese
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Pescara
1
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Monza
0
0
D
03.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Sudtirol
0
4
L
22.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Avellino
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Mantova
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
17.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Cesena
1
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Venezia
1
3
L
13.12.25
Ser
Reggiana
Padova
1
2
L
29.11.25
Ser
Reggiana
Frosinone
0
1
L
08.11.25
Ser
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Reggiana
Modena
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ser
Reggiana
Bari
3
1
W
30.09.25
Ser
Reggiana
Spezia
1
1
D
20.09.25
Ser
Reggiana
Catanzaro
2
2
D
29.08.25
Ser
Reggiana
Empoli
3
1
W
H2H at home: Reggiana
08.05.26
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
2
2
D
16.12.23
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
2
L
Last matches: Sampdoria
25.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Cesena
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Pescara
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Carrarese
0
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Frosinone
0
3
L
04.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Mantova
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Modena
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
0
0
D
10.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Avellino
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Padova
1
1
D
12.12.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Palermo
0
1
L
30.11.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Spezia
0
1
L
08.11.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Venezia
1
3
L
28.10.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Empoli
1
1
D
17.10.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
1
3
L
27.09.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Bari
1
1
D
20.09.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Monza
0
1
L
31.08.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
3
L
18.08.25
Cop
Sampdoria
Spezia
1
1
D
H2H away: Sampdoria
08.05.26
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
2
2
D
16.12.23
H2H
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
2
W

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation