FRANCE LIGUE 2
14.09.2026 18:45
Stade Bauer

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
RED Star FC 93 Win 39.9%
Draw 24.3%
Metz Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
RED Star FC 931.25
Metz1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Metz Metz
WLDWL
32 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
9
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 12 matches
Metz Metz 14 matches
RED Star FC 93 Statistic Metz
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 5
5 Losses 2
16 Goals For 32
17 Goals Against 16
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.29
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 12
8 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.8
13.2 Total Shots 14.4
7.2 Corners 5.4
53% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Metz's more proactive style and RED Star FC 93's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Metz. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

RED Star FC 93 Analysis

So far, RED Star FC 93 have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 5:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Durand (2 goals), K. Cabral (1 goals), S. Khaoui (1 goals), with creative support from K. Cabral (2 assists), S. Khaoui (1 assists), E. Zidane (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Metz Analysis

Metz arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 9 points after 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 8:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Fall (5 goals), J. Deminguet (1 goals), T. Savanier (1 goals), with creative support from J. Deminguet (2 assists), T. Savanier (2 assists), F. Miguel (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, RED Star FC 93 won 2 times, Metz won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:17 from RED Star FC 93's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.7%)
Predicted formations: RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1 / Metz 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: RED Star FC 93 wins 2, draws 2, Metz wins 6

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 16:4 12 15
W W W W W
2 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
W D L W W
3 5 2 3 0 12:7 5 9
D W W D D
4
Metz Away
5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 2 1 4:4 0 8
L D W W D
6 5 2 2 1 5:6 -1 8
W L D D W
7 5 2 1 2 3:2 1 7
L W W L D
8 5 2 1 2 11:11 0 7
L D W L W
9 5 1 3 1 2:4 -2 6
D D W D L
10 5 1 2 2 8:9 -1 5
D L L D W
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
D D L W L
12 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
D D L W L
13 5 0 4 1 2:3 -1 4
D D D L D
14 5 0 4 1 3:5 -2 4
D D D L D
15 5 1 1 3 7:11 -4 4
W D L L L
16 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L W L D L
17 5 1 1 3 5:10 -5 4
L L D W L
18 5 0 3 2 5:7 -2 3
D L D L D
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3