AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
22.04.2026 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Referee: H. Lechner
Red Bull Salzburg
Match Timeline
Austria Vienna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Maurits Kjaergaard
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
16'
Y. Vertessen · Assist: F. Kratzig
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
22'
J. Schuster · Assist: M. Kjaergaard
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
34'
R. Ranftl · Assist: M. Fischer
Austria Vienna
🟨
41'
Philipp Maybach
Austria Vienna
🔄
59'
J. Handl ↔ T. Plavotic
Austria Vienna
🔄
59'
P. Maybach ↔ F. Wustinger
Austria Vienna
🔄
59'
V. Markovic ↔ S. Saljic
Austria Vienna
🟨
72'
Kerim Alajbegović
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
72'
K. Alajbegovic ↔ M. K. Yeo
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
73'
K. Konate ↔ K. Onisiwo
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
76'
S. Sahin-Radlinger
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
78'
Lee Kang-hee
Austria Vienna
🔄
79'
Lee Tae-Seok ↔ M. Schablas
Austria Vienna
🔄
80'
F. Kratzig ↔ A. Terzic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
80'
Y. Vertessen ↔ E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
82'
K. Boateng ↔ A. Kante
Austria Vienna
🔄
87'
M. Kjaergaard ↔ S. Diabate
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
90'
Tin Plavotić
Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Red Bull Salzburg Win 29.2%
Draw 7.5%
Austria Vienna Win 63.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Red Bull Salzburg1.7
Austria Vienna1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WWDLW
78 GF / 57 GA
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
WLDWL
53 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
27
BTTS Yes
20
26
Over 2.5
20
5.54
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 44 matches
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 32 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Statistic Austria Vienna
19 Wins 14
9 Draws 5
16 Losses 13
78 Goals For 53
57 Goals Against 51
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
27 BTTS Yes 20
36 Over 1.5 27
26 Over 2.5 20
19 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 4
5.54 Shots On Goal 4
15.49 Total Shots 11.16
4.59 Corners 5.68
55.7% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Austria Vienna. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Red Bull Salzburg expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Austria Vienna in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austria Vienna having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Austria Vienna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Red Bull Salzburg Analysis

Placed 2 with 37 points from 22 outings, Red Bull Salzburg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 42:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Ratkov (9 goals), K. Alajbegovic (8 goals), K. Konate (6 goals), with creative support from Frans Krätzig (5 assists), S. Kitano (4 assists), M. Kjaergaard (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Austria Vienna Analysis

Austria Vienna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 36 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 34:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Eggestein (9 goals), Abubakr Barry (4 goals), Aleksandar Dragović (3 goals), with creative support from J. Eggestein (6 assists), Abubakr Barry (4 assists), Lee Tae-seok (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 11 times, Austria Vienna won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:10 from Red Bull Salzburg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Red Bull Salzburg 4-3-1-2 / Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Red Bull Salzburg wins 11, draws 3, Austria Vienna wins 1

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)