Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Recoleta
29 matches
San Marcos de Arica
29 matches
| Recoleta | Statistic | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 40 | Goals For | 29 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Marcos de Arica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. San Marcos de Arica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control.
Recoleta are currently 7 in the standings with 31 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
San Marcos de Arica sit 9 with 30 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 25:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 0 times, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Recoleta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 50 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 48 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 5 | 46 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:26 | 21 | 44 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 12 | 44 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Recoleta
Home
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 41 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 40 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
San Marcos de Arica
Away
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | -16 | 30 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 16:48 | -32 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
W
|