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CHILE › PRIMERA B
09.09.2026 21:00
Recoleta
Match Timeline
San Marcos de Arica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
A. Barboza
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
G. Estigarribia ↔ F. Flores
Recoleta
⚽
61'
F. Flores
Recoleta
🔄
62'
F. Alarcon ↔ F. Tomarelli
Recoleta
🔄
63'
N. Arismendy ↔ I. Lara
Recoleta
🔄
63'
M. Arguinarena ↔ C. Gonzalez
Recoleta
🔄
67'
A. Maidana ↔ G. Reyes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
67'
E. Benavides ↔ D. Pereira
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
78'
C. Melivilu Fuentes ↔ N. Zedan
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
78'
B. Sagredo ↔ N. Donadell
San Marcos de Arica
⚽
83'
G. Alvarez
Recoleta
🔄
84'
G. Alvarez ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta

Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 66.8%
Draw 20.8%
San Marcos de Arica Win 12.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.3
San Marcos de Arica1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
WWDLW
40 GF / 43 GA
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WLDWL
29 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
18
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 29 matches
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 29 matches
Recoleta Statistic San Marcos de Arica
10 Wins 8
9 Draws 10
10 Losses 11
40 Goals For 29
43 Goals Against 34
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
18 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Marcos de Arica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. San Marcos de Arica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta are currently 7 in the standings with 31 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica sit 9 with 30 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 25:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 0 times, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Recoleta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.6%)
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 0, draws 2, San Marcos de Arica wins 5

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 14 8 5 42:29 13 50
W W W W W
2 27 13 9 5 45:29 16 48
L W W D L
3 27 13 7 7 44:39 5 46
W W W D D
4 27 12 8 7 47:26 21 44
W W L D L
5 27 12 8 7 42:30 12 44
L L L L W
6 27 11 8 8 39:36 3 41
L W D W W
7 27 11 7 9 42:40 2 40
W W W D L
8 27 10 9 8 33:27 6 39
L W W L W
9 27 10 6 11 32:35 -3 36
L L D L D
10 27 9 8 10 42:37 5 35
W L D W L
11 27 8 10 9 36:30 6 34
W W W L L
12 27 10 4 13 26:35 -9 34
L L L L W
13 27 7 9 11 24:40 -16 30
W L L W L
14 27 4 10 13 28:42 -14 22
L L D W D
15 27 5 7 15 16:48 -32 22
L L L L D
16 27 5 6 16 27:42 -15 21
W L L W W