CHILE › PRIMERA B
09.05.2026 16:30
Recoleta
Match Timeline
Deportes Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
G. Alvarez
Recoleta
⚽
18'
B. Camisassa
Recoleta
🟨
31'
G. Alucema
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
36'
B. Camisassa
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
45+2'
J. Dobboletta
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
45+2'
N. Romero ↔ F. Alvarado
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
F. Tomarelli ↔ C. Cepeda
Recoleta
🔄
46'
S. Mederos ↔ D. Acevedo
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
55'
G. Alucema
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟥
55'
G. Alucema
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
58'
N. Barrios ↔ H. Herrera
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
62'
G. Alvarez ↔ M. Arguinarena
Recoleta
🔄
62'
B. Provoste ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta
🟨
63'
F. Baez
Recoleta
🟨
70'
G. Estigarribia
Recoleta
🔄
70'
C. Rodriguez ↔ D. Viveros
Recoleta
🔄
73'
I. Quiroz ↔ D. Tati
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
73'
M. Pinto ↔ N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
82'
N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
87'
F. Baez ↔ C. Gonzalez
Recoleta
🟨
90+3'
A. Salazar
Recoleta

Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 93.8%
Draw 0%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 6.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.71
Deportes Santa Cruz1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
WWDLW
20 GF / 20 GA
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 12 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 13 matches
Recoleta Statistic Deportes Santa Cruz
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 5
20 Goals For 22
20 Goals Against 23
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Santa Cruz. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Recoleta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 16 points compared to Deportes Santa Cruz in 15 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta sit 6 with 16 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 18:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Baez (3 goals), G. Estigarribia (3 goals), P. Sanchez (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 7 points from 10 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Arias (12 goals), F. Orellana (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 6 times, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Recoleta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 6, draws 2, Deportes Santa Cruz wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 12 9 4 43:27 16 45
W D L W L
2 25 12 8 5 40:26 14 44
L L W W W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 9 7 9 37:39 -2 34
W D L L L
10 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
11 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 24 5 7 12 16:41 -25 22
L D D L L
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W