CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 30.3%
Draw 26.3%
D. Puerto Montt Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.29
D. Puerto Montt1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
WWDLW
30 GF / 34 GA
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
13
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 21 matches
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 22 matches
Recoleta Statistic D. Puerto Montt
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 3
8 Losses 8
30 Goals For 28
34 Goals Against 24
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
13 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and D. Puerto Montt's more proactive style and Recoleta's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring D. Puerto Montt. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward D. Puerto Montt having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. D. Puerto Montt arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta sit 10 with 22 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:24 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

D. Puerto Montt approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 23 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 17:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 0 times, D. Puerto Montt won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:10 from Recoleta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.7%)
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 0, draws 0, D. Puerto Montt wins 5
Last matches: Recoleta
27.07.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union Espanola
1
2
L
06.07.26
Cop
Recoleta
Colo Colo
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Recoleta
O'Higgins
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Recoleta
Colo Colo
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
San Luis
0
0
D
21.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Cobreloa
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Magallanes
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Antofagasta
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Curico Unido
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
4
2
W
27.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Temuco
1
5
L
21.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Rangers de Talca
4
2
W
13.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union Espanola
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Recoleta
Santiago Wanderers
2
0
W
08.02.26
Cop
Recoleta
Union Espanola
2
1
W
Last matches: D. Puerto Montt
26.07.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Antofagasta
3
2
W
12.07.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Concepción
0
2
L
05.07.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Huachipato
2
1
W
29.06.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Concepción
2
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Huachipato
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Cobreloa
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
San Luis
1
4
L
09.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Magallanes
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Curico Unido
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Temuco
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Antofagasta
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Copiapo
2
0
W
H2H: Recoleta vs D. Puerto Montt
08.03.26
H2H
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
3
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
2
1
L
25.03.23
H2H
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
1
L
20.08.22
H2H
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
3
L
08.04.22
H2H
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
1
0
L
Last matches: Recoleta
20.06.26
Cop
Recoleta
Colo Colo
0
3
L
30.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
San Luis
0
0
D
21.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Cobreloa
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Antofagasta
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Curico Unido
2
2
D
27.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Temuco
1
5
L
13.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union Espanola
2
1
W
01.02.26
Cop
Recoleta
Union Espanola
0
1
L
06.04.25
Cop
Recoleta
Santiago Morning
0
0
D
09.02.25
Cop
Recoleta
Magallanes
0
1
L
29.01.25
Cop
Recoleta
Universidad de Chile
1
6
L
15.06.24
Cop
Recoleta
A. Italiano
1
3
L
09.04.23
Cop
Recoleta
A. Italiano
2
3
L
15.06.21
Cop
Recoleta
San Luis
3
1
W
24.03.19
Cop
Recoleta
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
H2H at home: Recoleta
25.03.23
H2H
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
1
L
20.08.22
H2H
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
3
L
Last matches: D. Puerto Montt
12.07.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Concepción
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Huachipato
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
San Luis
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Curico Unido
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
D. Puerto Montt
Antofagasta
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Temuco
1
2
L
29.10.24
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Nublense
1
1
D
16.10.24
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Huachipato
0
1
L
29.06.24
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Temuco
1
2
L
16.06.24
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Alas Portuarias
7
0
W
02.07.23
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Temuco
0
3
L
07.04.23
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Bories
3
0
W
26.06.22
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Huachipato
0
3
L
27.03.22
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Provincial Ranco
4
1
W
27.06.21
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
3
2
W
15.06.21
Cop
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Valdivia
3
1
W
H2H away: D. Puerto Montt
25.03.23
H2H
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
1
W
20.08.22
H2H
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
3
W

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 5 2 34:19 15 32
W D W D W
2 16 8 5 3 31:18 13 29
W L D W W
3 16 7 7 2 21:11 10 28
W L L W D
4 16 7 5 4 26:22 4 26
W W D W W
5 16 8 2 6 20:18 2 26
W D L L L
6 16 7 4 5 23:20 3 25
W D D L W
7 16 6 5 5 26:19 7 23
L L W W W
8 16 6 5 5 24:19 5 23
L D L D D
9 16 6 5 5 21:23 -2 23
D W D W L
10 16 6 4 6 25:26 -1 22
L D D D L
11 16 6 4 6 24:26 -2 22
L D W L W
12 16 4 6 6 17:26 -9 18
L W W D L
13 16 3 7 6 20:23 -3 16
W D L D L
14 16 4 4 8 13:29 -16 16
L D W L W
15 16 2 6 8 21:30 -9 12
L W D D L
16 16 0 4 12 11:28 -17 4
D L L L L