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SPAIN › LA LIGA
11.10.2026 14:15
Anoeta
Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain
Real Sociedad
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Coruna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
J. Martin · Assist: C. Soler
Real Sociedad
⚽
34'
A. Zakharyan
Real Sociedad
🟨
40'
David Mella
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
46'
D. Mella ↔ R. Rodriguez
Deportivo La Coruna
⚽
54'
G. Guedes · Assist: A. Barrenetxea
Real Sociedad
🔄
56'
G. Guedes ↔ J. Ochieng
Real Sociedad
🔄
56'
A. Zakharyan ↔ M. Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad
🔄
57'
X. Navarro ↔ A. Altimira
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
57'
D. Villares Yanez ↔ L. Amatucci
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
57'
Cruz Luismi ↔ A. Traore
Deportivo La Coruna
⚽
61'
M. Soriano · Assist: R. Rodriguez
Deportivo La Coruna
🟥
66'
Pablo Marín
Real Sociedad
🔄
69'
C. Soler ↔ I. Zubeldia
Real Sociedad
⚽
69'
Y. Hernandez
Deportivo La Coruna
🟨
71'
José María Giménez
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
79'
G. Quagliata ↔ J. Asp
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
88'
A. Barrenetxea ↔ H. Fort
Real Sociedad
🟨
90+4'
Yangel Herrera
Real Sociedad
🟥
90'
Lorenzo Amatucci
Deportivo La Coruna

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad Win 24.4%
Draw 13.3%
Deportivo La Coruna Win 62.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad1.17
Deportivo La Coruna1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
L W L L W
7 GF / 10 GA
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
L D D L D
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
11
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
6
5.13
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 16 matches
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 16 matches
Real Sociedad Statistic Deportivo La Coruna
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 8
9 Losses 3
20 Goals For 22
28 Goals Against 17
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
11 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
5.13 Shots On Goal 3.86
13.75 Total Shots 10.14
7.63 Corners 4.86
49.8% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Deportivo La Coruna's more proactive style and Real Sociedad's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo La Coruna. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Real Sociedad Analysis

Real Sociedad sit 8 with 10 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Sučić (3 goals), Barrenetxea (2 goals), J. Ochieng (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ochieng (3 assists), Carlos Soler (2 assists), Mikel Oyarzabal (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo La Coruna Analysis

Deportivo La Coruna are currently 7 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Aubameyang (5 goals), Luismi Cruz (1 goals), Diego Villares (1 goals), with creative support from P. Aubameyang (2 assists), Mario Soriano (2 assists), Luismi Cruz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad won 5 times, Deportivo La Coruna won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Real Sociedad's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad 4-4-2 / Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Sociedad 3, Deportivo La Coruna 3
H2H summary: Real Sociedad wins 5, draws 5, Deportivo La Coruna wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 10 3 3 4 14:11 3 12
D L L D L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 9 2 4 3 15:17 -2 10
W D D L L
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 8 2 3 3 8:9 -1 9
L D D D
14 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
D D W L
15 9 2 3 4 5:11 -6 9
D L W L D
16 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
17 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 10 0 5 5 7:19 -12 5
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2