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14.11.2026 15:15
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.7%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad II Win 30.3%
Draw 25.7%
Sporting Gijon Win 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad II1.21
Sporting Gijon1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
D W L L L
4 GF / 9 GA
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
L W W L W
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
10
3.92
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 18 matches
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 19 matches
Real Sociedad II Statistic Sporting Gijon
4 Wins 10
3 Draws 1
11 Losses 8
20 Goals For 27
29 Goals Against 26
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
9 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
3.92 Shots On Goal 4.07
12.77 Total Shots 11.36
4.54 Corners 3.71
44.3% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Gijon. Sporting Gijon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 22 points while Real Sociedad II sit 19 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sporting Gijon look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

Real Sociedad II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 11 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:22 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Lander Astiazarán (3 goals), Gorka Gorosabel (3 goals), Gorka Carrera (2 goals), with creative support from Dani Díaz (5 assists), Lander Astiazarán (1 assists), Gorka Gorosabel (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Gijon Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Sporting Gijon have collected 22 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:13 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Antonio Casas (3 goals), Guille Rosas (2 goals), A. Sarco (2 goals), with creative support from Álex Corredera (2 assists), Guille Rosas (1 assists), J. Otero (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad II won 3 times, Sporting Gijon won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Real Sociedad II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad II 4-4-2 / Sporting Gijon 4-4-2
H2H summary: Real Sociedad II wins 3, draws 0, Sporting Gijon wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 24:10 14 29
W D D W W
2 12 8 3 1 23:5 18 27
D W W L D
3 13 7 3 3 19:14 5 24
W D W W L
4 12 7 2 3 21:14 7 23
D L D L W
5 12 7 2 3 20:14 6 23
W W W W W
6 12 6 4 2 15:7 8 22
W D D W D
7 13 7 1 5 14:15 -1 22
L W L W W
8 13 6 3 4 22:12 10 21
L L W W D
9 13 6 3 4 19:16 3 21
W L D W W
10 13 6 2 5 19:21 -2 20
W W W L L
11 13 6 1 6 22:22 0 19
W D W W L
12 13 5 3 5 22:20 2 18
W W L L W
13 13 4 6 3 12:11 1 18
D L D L W
14 12 3 6 3 15:17 -2 15
D D D D L
15 13 4 2 7 13:19 -6 14
L L L W W
16 13 3 4 6 19:25 -6 13
L D L D W
17 13 3 3 7 15:22 -7 12
D W L L L
18 13 3 3 7 11:23 -12 12
L L D L L
19 12 3 2 7 17:22 -5 11
D L L W D
20 13 2 4 7 16:18 -2 10
L L W L L
21 13 3 1 9 13:24 -11 10
W W W L L
22 13 1 2 10 10:30 -20 5
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation