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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
19.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Villa Concha

Real Santander vs Leones FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Santander Win 55%
Draw 12.9%
Leones FC Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Santander1.13
Leones FC1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Santander Real Santander
WWDLW
24 GF / 42 GA
Leones FC Leones FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
16
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Santander Real Santander 28 matches
Leones FC Leones FC 28 matches
Real Santander Statistic Leones FC
4 Wins 5
11 Draws 9
13 Losses 14
24 Goals For 19
42 Goals Against 43
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
16 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leones FC. Leones FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leones FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Real Santander Analysis

With 22 points from 27 games and a place of 15, Real Santander still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 23:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leones FC Analysis

With 20 points from 26 games and a place of 16, Leones FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 16:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Santander won 4 times, Leones FC won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Real Santander's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
H2H summary: Real Santander wins 4, draws 4, Leones FC wins 6

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 17 10 7 42:30 12 61
D D L W W
2 36 15 13 8 48:33 15 58
D D D D W
3 34 16 10 8 35:26 9 58
D L W W L
4 36 15 12 9 56:42 14 57
D D L D D
5 34 15 10 9 48:34 14 55
D D D W D
6 34 12 11 11 35:29 6 47
D D W D W
7 28 11 11 6 30:22 8 44
D D W W L
8 34 9 13 12 28:35 -7 40
D D D L W
9 34 10 9 15 43:46 -3 39
D W D L L
10 28 9 10 9 33:30 3 37
D L W W W
11 28 9 8 11 30:35 -5 35
L D L L L
12 27 7 10 10 33:35 -2 31
L D W W W
13 28 7 10 11 22:29 -7 31
D W L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 28 5 9 14 19:43 -24 24
W D D L L
16 28 4 11 13 24:42 -18 23
D W L D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)