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11.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte
Referee: G. A. Vargas Carreno
Real Potosí
Match Timeline
The Strongest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Lucas Gimenez
Real Potosí
🔄
46'
L. Gimenez ↔ G. Anasgo
Real Potosí
🟨
48'
Dilan Saavedra
The Strongest
VAR
57'
Adrián Estacio
The Strongest
⚽
61'
Jaime Arrascaita
The Strongest
🟨
62'
Jorge Rojas
Real Potosí
🔄
62'
M. Gomez ↔ Igor Soares
Real Potosí
🔄
74'
J. Rivas ↔ L. Ali
Real Potosí
⚽
82'
J. Rojas
Real Potosí
🔄
83'
C. Ventura ↔ Pachu
The Strongest
🟨
88'
Martín Chiatti
The Strongest
🔄
88'
J. Rojas ↔ S. Plaza
Real Potosí
🔄
89'
A. Jusino ↔ W. Saucedo
The Strongest
🟨
90+4'
Stiven Plaza
Real Potosí
🟥
90+6'
Kevin Salvatierra
The Strongest
🔄
90'
Saavedra ↔ R. Ribera
The Strongest

Real Potosí vs The Strongest Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.9%
2.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.3%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Potosí Win 41.2%
Draw 15%
The Strongest Win 43.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Potosí1.25
The Strongest1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WWDLW
27 GF / 14 GA
The Strongest The Strongest
WLDWL
55 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.96
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
18
7
Over 2.5
18
3.35
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Potosí Real Potosí 20 matches
The Strongest The Strongest 28 matches
Real Potosí Statistic The Strongest
8 Wins 17
8 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
27 Goals For 55
14 Goals Against 31
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 18
15 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 18
2 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 6
3.35 Shots On Goal 3.55
11.3 Total Shots 10.68
3.65 Corners 3.18
31.9% Ball Possession 34.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The Strongest look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Potosí expected to line up in 5-4-1 and The Strongest in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward The Strongest having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring The Strongest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Potosí Analysis

Placed 4 with 32 points from 20 outings, Real Potosí continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 27:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Alí (5 goals), Jeferson Rivas (4 goals), I. Cárdenas (3 goals), with creative support from B. Condori (2 assists), J. Alipaz (2 assists), J. Rojas (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

The Strongest Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 42 points from 20 games, The Strongest bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 39:22, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Lom (3 goals), J. Arrascaita (2 goals), A. Estacio (1 goals), with creative support from A. Estacio (3 assists), Dilan Saavedra (2 assists), G. Sotomayor (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Real Potosí won 0 times, The Strongest won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:35 from Real Potosí's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.18 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Real Potosí 5-4-1 / The Strongest 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Potosí wins 0, draws 1, The Strongest wins 10

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 6 1 49:13 36 48
W W W W D
2 21 15 3 3 55:22 33 48
W W W W W
3 21 12 6 3 39:23 16 42
L W W W W
4 22 10 8 4 29:14 15 38
W W W W D
5 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
6 22 7 10 5 33:30 3 31
L D L W W
7 21 8 5 8 33:43 -10 29
L W L D L
8 22 6 10 6 30:23 7 28
D L D W L
9 21 8 4 9 32:30 2 28
D L W W L
10 22 8 3 11 36:51 -15 27
W W L L W
11 22 7 5 10 27:37 -10 26
D L L L L
12 22 6 3 13 29:43 -14 21
W L D W L
13 22 6 3 13 22:42 -20 21
L D W L L
14 22 6 2 14 31:47 -16 20
L L L L W
15 22 5 5 12 16:39 -23 20
W D L L L
16 22 3 8 11 25:39 -14 17
L W L L L