15.09.2026 19:00
Referee: C. Arteaga
Real Oruro
Match Timeline
Real Potosí
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
Luis Alí · Assist: Hugo Rojas
Real Potosí
🟨
42'
William Arnol Fernández Mamani
Real Potosí
🔄
45'
Cristian López ↔ Jose Andres Alipaz
Real Potosí
🔄
45'
Erlan Boris Condori Galvarro ↔ J. Thomas
Real Potosí
🔄
56'
Juan Pablo Rioja ↔ saul severiche
Real Potosí
🔄
56'
William Arnol Fernández Mamani ↔ Edgar Daniel Cuellar Montero
Real Potosí
🔄
67'
A. Bravo ↔ Denis Pinto
Real Oruro
🔄
72'
Luis Alí ↔ Jeferson Rivas Tirado
Real Potosí
🔄
78'
Juan Montenegro ↔ Angel Quiñonez
Real Oruro
🟨
80'
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
Real Oruro
🟨
84'
C. Chore
Real Oruro
90+2'
Jeferson Rivas Tirado · Assist: Hugo Rojas
Real Potosí

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.3%
2.00
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.60
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.7%
1.23
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Real Oruro Win 19.8%
Draw 12.9%
Real Potosí Win 67.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Oruro1.35
Real Potosí1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Oruro Real Oruro
WWDLW
42 GF / 59 GA
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WLDWL
25 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.32
2.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
20
BTTS Yes
9
20
Over 2.5
7
2.58
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Oruro Real Oruro 24 matches
Real Potosí Real Potosí 19 matches
Real Oruro Statistic Real Potosí
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 8
12 Losses 4
42 Goals For 25
59 Goals Against 14
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
2.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
20 BTTS Yes 9
24 Over 1.5 14
20 Over 2.5 7
15 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 6
2.58 Shots On Goal 3.26
7.95 Total Shots 11.05
2.68 Corners 3.37
25.1% Ball Possession 31.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Potosí's more proactive style and Real Oruro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Potosí. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Oruro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Potosí in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Potosí having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Oruro Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Real Oruro have collected 21 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Adriel Fernandez (2 goals), A. Quiñonez (2 goals), Y. Vallejos (2 goals), with creative support from Adriel Fernandez (2 assists), J. Montenegro (2 assists), A. Quiñonez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Potosí Analysis

Real Potosí sit 6 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 23:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luis Alí (4 goals), I. Cárdenas (3 goals), Jeferson Rivas (3 goals), with creative support from B. Condori (2 assists), Jose Andres Alipaz (2 assists), Gonzalo Reynaldo Añasgo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro won 1 times, Real Potosí won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Real Oruro's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Real Oruro 4-2-3-1 / Real Potosí 5-4-1
H2H summary: Real Oruro wins 1, draws 0, Real Potosí wins 0

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D