Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Villarreal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.11
Villarreal1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
24 GF / 8 GA
Villarreal
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
6
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
8.6
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
10 matches
Villarreal
9 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 4 |
| 24 | Goals For | 14 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 2.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 8.6 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 19.2 | Total Shots | 14.8 |
| 7 | Corners | 7.2 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 58.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 8 times, Villarreal won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:19 from Real Madrid's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Villarreal 4-4-2
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 8, draws 5, Villarreal wins 2
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 15 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Villarreal
Away
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation