Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Villarreal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.11
Villarreal1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
32 GF / 13 GA
Villarreal
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.46
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
7.63
Shots on Goal
6.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
13 matches
Villarreal
12 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 32 | Goals For | 21 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 2.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.63 | Shots On Goal | 6.5 |
| 18.5 | Total Shots | 15.63 |
| 6.5 | Corners | 7.25 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 60% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 8 times, Villarreal won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:19 from Real Madrid's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Villarreal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 8, draws 5, Villarreal wins 2
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Villarreal
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation