Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 59.7%
Draw 5.3%
Fiorentina Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.8
Fiorentina2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
Fiorentina
WLDWL
12 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
3
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
1 matches
Fiorentina
4 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 12 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 4 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 0 times, Fiorentina won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Real Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Real Madrid - / Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 0, draws 1, Fiorentina wins 0
Lineups
Real Madrid
Formation
Fiorentina
A. Lunin
T. Alexander-Arnold
J. Martinez
M. Rivas
A. Carreras
F. Valverde
E. Camavinga
D. Dumfries
A. Guler
A. Ciria
Endrick
D. de Gea
A. Jimenez
R. Dragusin
L. Ranieri
Viery
C. Inao Oulai
C. Ndour
R. Mandragora
A. Atta
A. Gudmundsson
R. Piccoli
Real Madrid
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
13
A. Lunin
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
27
J. Martinez
36
M. Rivas
18
A. Carreras
🎯 12'
8
F. Valverde
↓ 84'
6
E. Camavinga
🎯 24'
33
D. Dumfries
↓ 75'
15
A. Guler
↓ 87'
39
A. Ciria
⚽ 24'
↓ 64'
29
Endrick
⚽ 12'
↓ 75'
Substitutes
26
S. Mestre
34
J. Navarro Jimenez
40
C. Espi
↑ 75'
31
J. Fortea
41
J. Ortega
28
L. Fati
↑ 87'
37
A. Garcia
38
D. Yanez
↑ 75'
32
J. Cestero Sancho
↑ 64'
35
D. Lacosta
↑ 84'
Fiorentina
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. de Gea
↓ 46'
29
A. Jimenez
🎯 41'
↓ 56'
6
R. Dragusin
18
L. Ranieri
↓ 77'
16
Viery
32
C. Inao Oulai
↓ 57'
20
C. Ndour
↓ 76'
19
R. Mandragora
↓ 85'
4
A. Atta
↓ 85'
9
A. Gudmundsson
↓ 70'
🟨 51'
24
R. Piccoli
⚽ 41'
↓ 57'
Substitutes
33
L. Lezzerini
12
O. Christensen
↑ 46'
8
G. Fabbian
↑ 70'
21
R. Braschi
25
E. Kospo
14
N. Fortini
↑ 76'
23
M. Kean
⚽ 58'
↑ 57'
3
Dodo
↑ 56'
11
N. Fagioli
🎯 58'
↑ 57'
🟨 88'
27
L. Deli
↑ 85'
30
A. Perrotti
28
B. Mazzeo
2
V. Valdepenas
↑ 77'
26
F. Croci
↑ 85'
Last matches: Real Madrid
16.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
14.08.26
Cop
Fiorentina
Benevento
4
1
W
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Fiorentina
01.08.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
Last matches: Real Madrid
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
01.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
H2H at home: Real Madrid
01.08.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
Last matches: Fiorentina
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
2
2
D
H2H away: Fiorentina
01.08.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D