COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Real Cundinamarca
Match Timeline
Real Cartagena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
O. Acosta
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
46'
K. Vidal ↔ C. Gomez
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
59'
D. Castillo ↔ A. Melendez
Real Cartagena
🔄
59'
D. Pino ↔ J. Rios
Real Cartagena
🔄
75'
E. Lopez ↔ J. Rodriguez
Real Cartagena
🔄
77'
O. Acosta ↔ L. Obregon
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
77'
J. Jaramillo ↔ C. Negrete
Real Cundinamarca
82'
M. Balanta
Real Cartagena
🟨
85'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🔄
85'
M. Manotas ↔ L. Yanes
Real Cartagena
🟨
90+3'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 31.5%
Draw 19%
Real Cartagena Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca0.96
Real Cartagena1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WWDLW
14 GF / 20 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
8
BTTS Yes
15
5
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 16 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 24 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Real Cartagena
2 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 5
14 Goals For 39
20 Goals Against 26
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
8 BTTS Yes 15
11 Over 1.5 18
5 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Real Soacha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Real Cartagena arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Cartagena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. Real Cartagena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 27 points while Real Soacha sit 13 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Real Soacha have collected 13 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 14:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena sit 5 with 27 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats with a 26:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 2 times, Real Cartagena won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.89 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 2, draws 4, Real Cartagena wins 3

Lineups

Real Cartagena
Formation
Real Cundinamarca
A. Montes
A. Montes
C. Graciano
C. Graciano
G. Tegue
G. Tegue
M. Balanta
M. Balanta
C. De Las Salas
C. De Las Salas
D. Pino
D. Pino
E. Lopez
E. Lopez
J. Barrera
J. Barrera
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
D. Castillo
D. Castillo
M. Manotas
M. Manotas
M. Valencia
M. Valencia
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
S. Florez
S. Florez
J. Suaza
J. Suaza
J. Cortes
J. Cortes
A. Cano
A. Cano
K. Vidal
K. Vidal
C. Zambrano
C. Zambrano
K. Cuellar
K. Cuellar
J. Jaramillo
J. Jaramillo
O. Acosta
O. Acosta
Real Cartagena 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Montes
26
C. Graciano
24
G. Tegue
33
M. Balanta
⚽ 82'
25
C. De Las Salas
14
D. Pino
↓ 59'
80
E. Lopez
↓ 75'
7
J. Barrera
16
J. Pineda
99
D. Castillo
↓ 59'
9
M. Manotas
↓ 85'
Substitutes
22
G. E. Gomez Tovar
6
A. Escobar
21
J. Rodriguez
↑ 75'
5
J. A. Solarte Espana
18
J. P. Gallego
20
L. Taffur
27
A. Melendez
↑ 59'
13
J. Rios
↑ 59'
11
L. Yanes
↑ 85'
Real Cundinamarca 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Valencia
15
J. Rodriguez
4
S. Florez
2
J. Suaza
19
J. Cortes
5
A. Cano
23
K. Vidal
↓ 46'
16
C. Zambrano
17
K. Cuellar
29
J. Jaramillo
↓ 77'
20
O. Acosta
⚽ 33' ↓ 77'
Substitutes
33
J. Lemus
31
L. Obregon
↑ 77'
13
M. Ortegon
25
G. Saavedra
8
C. Gomez
↑ 46'
30
P. de Zubiria
18
B. Quinonez
14
B. Castro
9
C. Negrete
↑ 77'
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
0
2
L
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
Last matches: Real Cartagena
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
6
1
W
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
07.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
H2H: Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena
02.08.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
31.01.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
L
17.11.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
12.11.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
0
0
D
05.08.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
0
0
D
04.04.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
3
0
W
17.09.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
2
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
0
W
20.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
17.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
0
W
07.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
1
D
19.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
3
1
W
08.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
3
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
1
D
26.07.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
2
0
W
16.07.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Jaguares
0
1
L
H2H at home: Real Cundinamarca
02.08.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
17.11.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
04.04.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
3
0
W
17.09.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
2
1
W
12.08.23
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Cartagena
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
6
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Tigres FC
0
0
D
09.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
0
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
1
0
W
24.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
0
0
D
17.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
0
0
D
10.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
29.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Jaguares
1
2
L
16.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
1
3
L
01.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Huila
1
0
W
H2H away: Real Cartagena
02.08.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
17.11.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
2
W
04.04.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
3
0
L
17.09.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
2
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)