Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Reading
Cardiff
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Reading
44 matches
Cardiff
43 matches
| Reading | Statistic | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 24 |
| 14 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 9 |
| 64 | Goals For | 77 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
| 30 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.68 | Shots On Goal | 5.07 |
| 10.66 | Total Shots | 15.14 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 6.07 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 61.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cardiff. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Reading have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cardiff carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 82 points while Reading sit 10 on 62, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Reading expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cardiff in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cardiff having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 62 points from 43 games and a place of 10, Reading still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 16 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 62:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Marriott (16 goals), L. Wing (11 goals), Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan (9 goals), with creative support from L. Wing (11 assists), Matt Ritchie (6 assists), Kami Doyle (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Cardiff come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 82 points from 42 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 24 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 76:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Salech (13 goals), C. Willock (8 goals), O. Kellyman (8 goals), with creative support from Ollie Tanner (11 assists), R. Kpakio (6 assists), C. Willock (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Reading won 4 times, Cardiff won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Reading's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Reading
7
9
5
3
3
3
Lineups
Reading
Charlton
Reading
Crawley Town
Reading
Newport County
Reading
Woking
Reading
Getafe
Reading
Farnborough
Reading
Blackpool
Reading
Rotherham
Reading
Doncaster
Reading
Lincoln
Reading
Huddersfield
Reading
Wigan
Reading
Stevenage
Reading
Burton Albion
Reading
Plymouth
Reading
Mansfield Town
Reading
Luton
Reading
Bradford
Reading
Port Vale
Reading
Bolton
Cardiff
AS Roma
Cardiff
Forest Green
Cardiff
Cork City
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
Northampton
Cardiff
Port Vale
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Cardiff
Bolton
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Blackpool
Cardiff
Wycombe
Cardiff
Exeter City
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Lincoln
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff
Plymouth
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff
Luton
Cardiff
Rotherham
Reading
Charlton
Reading
Blackpool
Reading
Lincoln
Reading
Wigan
Reading
Plymouth
Reading
Bradford
Reading
Bolton
Reading
Wycombe
Reading
Exeter City
Reading
Barnsley
Reading
Stockport County
Reading
Burton Albion
Reading
Luton
Reading
Peterborough
Reading
Rotherham
Reading
Stevenage
Reading
Carlisle
Reading
Doncaster
Reading
Northampton
Reading
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
Forest Green
Cardiff
Cork City
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Exeter City
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff
Plymouth
Cardiff
Rotherham
Cardiff
Burton Albion
Cardiff
Bradford
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
Cardiff
Wycombe
Cardiff
Lincoln
Cardiff
Stevenage
Cardiff
Northampton
Cardiff
Blackpool
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Bolton
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cardiff
Away
|
46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Reading
Home
|
46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|