BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
Referee: F. Fernandes de Lima
RB Bragantino
Match Timeline
Coritiba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Guzmán Rodríguez
RB Bragantino
🟨
20'
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
🔄
29'
Gustavo Marques ↔ Pedro Henrique
RB Bragantino
🟨
58'
Vini Paulista
Coritiba
🔄
62'
Vini Paulista ↔ Tissi
Coritiba
🔄
65'
Lucas Barbosa ↔ I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
🔄
65'
J. Herrera ↔ H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🔄
72'
Breno Lopes ↔ Keno
Coritiba
🔄
72'
Lucas Ronier ↔ J. Lavega
Coritiba
🔄
83'
Bruno Melo ↔ Felipe Jonatan
Coritiba
🔄
83'
Pedro Rocha ↔ Paulo Roberto
Coritiba
🔄
84'
Fernando Santos ↔ I. Sosa
RB Bragantino
🔄
84'
Eduardo Sasha ↔ Vinicinho
RB Bragantino
🟨
86'
Ignacio Sosa
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+1'
Paulo Roberto
Coritiba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
1.63
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
RB Bragantino Win 72.7%
Draw 4.9%
Coritiba Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Bragantino1.41
Coritiba1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WWDLW
28 GF / 21 GA
Coritiba Coritiba
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
5.11
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 20 matches
Coritiba Coritiba 19 matches
RB Bragantino Statistic Coritiba
10 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
28 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 27
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
5.11 Shots On Goal 3.42
15.79 Total Shots 10.53
5.47 Corners 3.47
49.7% Ball Possession 39.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and RB Bragantino's more proactive style and Coritiba's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Coritiba. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

RB Bragantino Analysis

RB Bragantino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 19 matches. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Isidro Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Juninho Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (3 assists), Isidro Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Coritiba Analysis

Coritiba sit 7 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (7 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino won 4 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from RB Bragantino's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Missing players: RB Bragantino 6, Coritiba 2
H2H summary: RB Bragantino wins 4, draws 2, Coritiba wins 3
Stats
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Coritiba Coritiba
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
8 Corner Kicks 1
17 Fouls 3
0 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 2
10 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
404 Total passes 327
329 Passes accurate 250
0.90 expected_goals 0.38
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

RB Bragantino
Formation
Coritiba
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi
A. Hurtado
A. Hurtado
Alix Vinicius
Alix Vinicius
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques
Juninho Capixaba
Juninho Capixaba
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Eric Ramires
Eric Ramires
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa
Lucas Barbosa
Fernando Santos
Fernando Santos
Eduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
Tinga
Tinga
Jacy
Jacy
Tiago Coser
Tiago Coser
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha
Josue
Josue
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes
Lucas Ronier
Lucas Ronier
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
Tiago Volpi
G
34
A. Hurtado
D
4
Alix Vinicius
D
16
Gustavo Marques
↓ 29'
D
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
20
Rodriguinho
M
7
Eric Ramires
M
32
J. Herrera
↓ 65'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
↓ 65' 🟨 20'
M
11
Fernando Santos
↓ 84'
M
8
Eduardo Sasha
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
Cleiton
G
9
I. Pitta
↑ 65'
F
15
I. Sosa
↑ 84' 🟨 86'
M
22
Gustavo Neves
M
30
H. Mosquera
↑ 65'
F
17
Vinicinho
↑ 84'
F
52
R. Tavares
D
6
Gabriel
M
14
Pedro Henrique
↑ 29'
35
Matheus Fernandes
M
3
Eduardo Santos
D
2
G. Rodriguez
🟨 -5'
D
Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
Pedro Rangel
G
2
Tinga
D
55
Jacy
D
23
Tiago Coser
D
26
Bruno Melo
↓ 83'
D
36
Vini Paulista
↓ 62' 🟨 58'
M
21
Thiago Santos
M
32
Pedro Rocha
↓ 83'
M
10
Josue
M
77
Breno Lopes
↓ 72'
M
11
Lucas Ronier
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
Pedro Morisco
G
3
Maicon
D
20
Keno
↑ 72'
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
↑ 83'
D
17
B. Ocampo
F
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
44
Joao Pedro Chermont
D
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
7
J. Lavega
↑ 72'
F
39
Gustavo
M
18
Paulo Roberto
↑ 83' 🟨 90+1'
M
50
Tissi
↑ 62'
Last matches: RB Bragantino
17.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Internacional
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Remo
4
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
Last matches: Coritiba
22.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H: RB Bragantino vs Coritiba
28.01.26
H2H
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
W
03.12.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
06.08.23
H2H
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
W
09.10.22
H2H
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
2
1
L
15.06.22
H2H
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
4
2
W
06.12.20
H2H
Coritiba
Bragantino
0
0
D
23.08.20
H2H
Bragantino
Coritiba
1
2
W
24.11.19
H2H
Coritiba
Bragantino
1
0
L
23.08.19
H2H
Bragantino
Coritiba
1
1
D
Last matches: RB Bragantino
11.07.26
Fri
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Internacional
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Remo
4
2
W
03.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
04.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
H2H at home: RB Bragantino
03.12.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
15.06.22
H2H
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
4
2
W
Last matches: Coritiba
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Coritiba
03.12.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
L
15.06.22
H2H
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
4
2
L
23.08.20
H2H
Bragantino
Coritiba
1
2
W
23.08.19
H2H
Bragantino
Coritiba
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.76
Draw 4.00
Home 1.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.17
Draw 2.36
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.75
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.27
Over 3.0 2.78
Over 3.5 3.47
Over 4.5 7.05
Under 1.5 3.53
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.75
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.25
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.50
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 3.84
Home 1.66
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 2.16
Home 2.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.05
Draw 2.55
Home 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.75
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.59
Over 3.25 2.87
Over 3.5 3.18
Over 3.75 3.86
Over 4.0 5.25
Over 4.25 5.55
Over 4.5 5.90
Over 5.0 10.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 8.30
Under 0.75 7.75
Under 1.0 7.20
Under 1.25 4.26
Under 1.5 3.18
Under 1.75 2.87
Under 2.0 2.51
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 2.75 1.68
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.25 1.33
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 3.90
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.32
Home 2.12
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.70
Home 1.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.65
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 2.75 2.12
Over 3.0 2.55
Over 3.25 2.90
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.40
Over 5.5 13.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.70
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.23
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.71
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.01

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 5 2 34:16 18 44
L W W W D
2 20 11 6 3 37:18 19 39
D D W W L
3 20 11 3 6 28:19 9 36
W W W W D
4 20 9 6 5 30:25 5 33
D D D L W
5 20 9 4 7 26:20 6 31
D D W W W
6 20 8 7 5 29:25 4 31
D D W W L
7 20 8 5 7 34:32 2 29
W D W L D
8 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
W D W L W
9 20 7 7 6 22:20 2 28
D W W W L
10 20 7 6 7 25:27 -2 27
D L L W W
11 20 7 6 7 26:30 -4 27
L W D W D
12 20 7 5 8 25:23 2 26
D L L D L
13 20 7 5 8 22:27 -5 26
L D W L W
14 20 6 5 9 23:27 -4 23
W D W L W
15 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
D L W L L
16 21 5 7 9 23:27 -4 22
D L L L L
17 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
D L L W D
18 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
D L L L L
19 21 5 6 10 24:34 -10 21
L W L W L
20 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10
?
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation

Missing Players

RB Bragantino 6 missing
-
Fabricio
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
A. Sant'Anna
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
R. Tavares
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Vanderlan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Davi Gomes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Fabinho
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Coritiba 2 missing
-
S. Gomez
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Fabinho
Questionable Inactive
OUT