ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Superbet Arena - Giulesti
Referee: I. Demetrescu
Rapid
Match Timeline
Universitatea Craiova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
Tudor Băluță
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
46'
J. Badelj ↔ V. Screciu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
46'
T. Baluta ↔ A. Cicaldau
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
63'
O. Morutan ↔ A. Borza
Rapid
🔄
63'
S. Baiaram ↔ M. Etim
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
67'
A. Pascanu ↔ L. Bolgado
Rapid
🔄
73'
N. Stevanovic ↔ M. Radulescu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
75'
T. Christensen ↔ D. Hazrollaj
Rapid
🔄
75'
L. Basceanu ↔ N. Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
76'
E. Koljic ↔ B. Burmaz
Rapid

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rapid Win 39%
Draw 0%
Universitatea Craiova Win 61%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rapid1.23
Universitatea Craiova1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rapid Rapid
WWDLW
55 GF / 44 GA
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WLDWL
87 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
22
BTTS Yes
24
20
Over 2.5
26
4.03
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rapid Rapid 39 matches
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 51 matches
Rapid Statistic Universitatea Craiova
17 Wins 29
10 Draws 11
12 Losses 11
55 Goals For 87
44 Goals Against 49
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
22 BTTS Yes 24
31 Over 1.5 37
20 Over 2.5 26
9 Over 3.5 15
11 Clean Sheets 22
9 Failed To Score 8
4.03 Shots On Goal 4.82
13.23 Total Shots 13.73
5.23 Corners 4.43
53% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitatea Craiova. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universitatea Craiova look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rapid expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universitatea Craiova in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitatea Craiova having the stronger overall control.

Rapid Analysis

Rapid sit 2 with 56 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats with a 47:30 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Dobre (15 goals), Alexandru Paşcanu (4 goals), C. Grameni (4 goals), with creative support from C. Petrila (8 assists), Tobias Christensen (6 assists), E. Koljic (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Universitatea Craiova Analysis

Universitatea Craiova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 60 points after 30 matches. The return of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 53:27, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Al Hamlawi (11 goals), S. Nsimba (10 goals), S. Baiaram (7 goals), with creative support from A. Mekvabishvili (7 assists), S. Baiaram (6 assists), S. Nsimba (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rapid won 3 times, Universitatea Craiova won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Rapid's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rapid 4-2-3-1 / Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
H2H summary: Rapid wins 3, draws 6, Universitatea Craiova wins 6

Standings

Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 12:6 6 50
D W D W W
2 10 6 1 3 13:11 2 46
D L W W L
3 10 4 4 2 8:7 1 43
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 39
L D D W L
5
Rapid Home
10 1 3 6 8:14 -6 34
D D L L L
6 10 1 4 5 6:10 -4 32
D D L L L
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs