Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
80.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Raków Częstochowa
45 matches
Jagiellonia
45 matches
| Raków Częstochowa | Statistic | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 20 |
| 9 | Draws | 15 |
| 13 | Losses | 10 |
| 67 | Goals For | 72 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 28 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.73 |
| 12.96 | Total Shots | 12.93 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 4.62 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raków Częstochowa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Jagiellonia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jagiellonia having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Jagiellonia. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Operating from 3 place with 49 points from 31 games, Raków Częstochowa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a 45:37 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on J. Brunes (15 goals), L. Rocha (10 goals), L. Diaby-Fadiga (7 goals), with creative support from M. Ameyaw (5 assists), L. Diaby-Fadiga (4 assists), Oskar Repka (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Placed 2 with 49 points from 31 outings, Jagiellonia continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 51:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Afimico Pululu (13 goals), Jesús Imaz (13 goals), A. Pozo (3 goals), with creative support from Jesús Imaz (6 assists), Afimico Pululu (5 assists), A. Pozo (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 7 times, Jagiellonia won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
Away
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 4 |
Raków Częstochowa
Home
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|