URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - CLAUSURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee: Esteban Guerra, Uruguay
Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Progreso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Yury Oyarzo
Racing Montevideo
🟨
18'
Matteo Copelotti
Progreso
🟨
24'
Matteo Copelotti
Progreso
🟥
24'
Matteo Copelotti
Progreso
🔄
34'
P. Lopez ↔ R. Hernandez
Progreso
🟨
44'
Yonathan Rodríguez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
46'
Y. Oyarzo ↔ S. Ramirez
Racing Montevideo
🟨
62'
Marcos Paolini 
Progreso
🔄
68'
T. N. Espinosa Dovat ↔ F. Alvarez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
68'
B. Tomatis ↔ A. Rodriguez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
G. Trasante ↔ D. Asconeguy
Progreso
🔄
69'
N. Fernandez ↔ A. Pinheiro
Progreso
🔄
76'
Y. Rodriguez ↔ F. Suarez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
85'
A. Cougo ↔ F. Kidd
Progreso
🟨
90'
Hernan Carroso
Progreso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.08
Progreso1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
7 GF / 15 GA
Progreso Progreso
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
3
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 8 matches
Progreso Progreso 8 matches
Racing Montevideo Statistic Progreso
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 4
7 Goals For 10
15 Goals Against 11
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 9 times, Progreso won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Progreso -
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 9, draws 2, Progreso wins 4

Lineups

Racing Montevideo
Formation
Progreso
L. Amade
L. Amade
G. Cotugno
G. Cotugno
G. Bueno
G. Bueno
M. Ferreira
M. Ferreira
E. Da Silva
E. Da Silva
Y. Rodriguez
Y. Rodriguez
F. Cairus
F. Cairus
Y. Oyarzo
Y. Oyarzo
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
I. Manzur
I. Manzur
B. Tomatis
B. Tomatis
N. Gentilio
N. Gentilio
G. Trasante
G. Trasante
M. Paolini
M. Paolini
H. Carroso
H. Carroso
L. N. Olivera Moreira
L. N. Olivera Moreira
A. Cougo
A. Cougo
G. Silva
G. Silva
A. Colombino
A. Colombino
P. Lopez
P. Lopez
M. Copelotti
M. Copelotti
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
Racing Montevideo 4-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
L. Amade
4
G. Cotugno
D
3
G. Bueno
D
17
M. Ferreira
D
16
E. Da Silva
M
5
Y. Rodriguez
↓ 76' 🟨 44'
M
8
F. Cairus
37
Y. Oyarzo
↓ 46' 🟨 9'
M
6
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
↓ 68'
D
81
I. Manzur
F
77
B. Tomatis
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
32
J. Dalies
G
13
F. Alvarez
↑ 68'
D
14
Brazionis
D
15
D. Cheuquepal
D
29
F. Gonzalez
D
26
J. Bosca
M
28
F. Suarez
↑ 76'
F
18
S. Ramirez
↑ 46'
M
22
A. Severo
F
43
A. Rodriguez
↑ 68'
Progreso 5-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Gentilio
G
16
G. Trasante
↓ 69'
D
4
M. Paolini
🟨 62'
D
13
H. Carroso
🟨 90'
D
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D
40
A. Cougo
↓ 85'
D
18
G. Silva
M
8
A. Colombino
M
11
P. Lopez
↓ 34'
M
26
M. Copelotti
🟨 18' 🟨 24' 🟥 24'
F
29
N. Fernandez
↓ 69'
M
Substitutes
35
F. Mendez
2
A. Prieto
6
F. Kidd
↑ 85'
D
28
D. Asconeguy
↑ 69'
D
7
A. Garcia
M
5
A. Pinheiro
↑ 69'
M
20
J. Vanetta
24
M. De Los Santos
M
19
F. Lopez
F
15
R. Hernandez
↑ 34'
F
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
Last matches: Progreso
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
H2H: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
4
3
L
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
W
22.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
2
W
09.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
25.03.18
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
0
L
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
09.12.12
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
1
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
13.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
4
L
17.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
1
0
W
18.09.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
0
2
L
02.09.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
SUD America
4
2
W
H2H at home: Racing Montevideo
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
W
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
01.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
1
2
L
03.12.23
Seg
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
24.11.23
Seg
Progreso
SUD America
4
0
W
14.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Atenas
1
1
D
H2H away: Progreso
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
L
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
L
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
L
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
L

Standings

Primera Division 2025, Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 30:12 18 35
L D W W W
2 15 8 6 1 25:11 14 27
W D D D D
3 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
L W W L D
4 15 6 8 1 26:10 16 26
D D W D D
5 15 7 4 4 19:14 5 25
W W D D D
6 15 7 4 4 19:16 3 25
L L L W W
7 15 7 3 5 13:13 0 24
D D W W W
8 15 7 2 6 13:16 -3 23
D L L W L
9 15 6 3 6 18:13 5 21
W W L D D
10 15 5 3 7 17:23 -6 18
D L L L W
11 15 4 5 6 14:22 -8 17
W L D D D
12 15 4 4 7 8:13 -5 16
D W L D L
13 15 3 5 7 12:18 -6 14
W D W D W
14 15 3 4 8 17:26 -9 13
L D L L D
15 15 2 2 11 9:26 -17 8
L L W L L
16 15 1 4 10 7:25 -18 7
L D D L D
Playoffs