Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Progreso
Racing Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.08
Progreso1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
7 GF / 15 GA
Progreso
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
3
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Racing Montevideo
8 matches
Progreso
8 matches
| Racing Montevideo | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 7 | Goals For | 10 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 9 times, Progreso won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Progreso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 9, draws 2, Progreso wins 4
Standings
Primera Division 2025, Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 |
Progreso
Away
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 11 |
Racing Montevideo
Home
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Playoffs