02.08.2026 15:00
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee: E. Guerra
Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Boston River
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
F. Alvarez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
58'
F. Aristegui ↔ F. Perez
Boston River
🔄
58'
F. Munoa ↔ N. Siri
Boston River
🟨
63'
Francisco Bonfiglio
Boston River
🔄
66'
E. Da Silva ↔ L. Loprete
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
F. Bonfiglio ↔ Y. Gonzalez
Boston River
🟨
70'
Juan Acosta
Boston River
🟥
82'
Agustín Aguirre
Boston River
🔄
83'
J. Bosca ↔ J. Varela
Racing Montevideo
🔄
83'
S. Da Silva ↔ R. Gadea
Racing Montevideo
🟨
85'
Martín González
Boston River
🔄
87'
J. Acosta ↔ M. Mancebo
Boston River
🔄
87'
A. Amado ↔ L. Vazquez
Boston River
🟨
90+3'
Marco Mancebo
Boston River
🔄
90+6'
A. Vazquez ↔ T. Habib
Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo vs Boston River Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.4%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 81.4%
Draw 11.9%
Boston River Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.3
Boston River0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
Boston River Boston River
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
11
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 21 matches
Boston River Boston River 21 matches
Racing Montevideo Statistic Boston River
10 Wins 6
8 Draws 4
3 Losses 11
26 Goals For 19
17 Goals Against 29
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
11 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boston River. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Montevideo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Boston River in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boston River having the stronger overall control. Racing Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 38 points compared to Boston River in 13 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Boston River arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Racing Montevideo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 38 points after 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, while the 26:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Boston River Analysis

With 22 points from 21 games and a place of 13, Boston River still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 19:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 6 times, Boston River won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Boston River 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 6, draws 2, Boston River wins 7

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 5 6 46:23 23 55
W W W L D
2 28 16 5 7 51:32 19 53
W W W W W
3 29 14 11 4 35:22 13 53
D W L W D
4 29 15 7 7 44:27 17 52
W L W L D
5 29 14 4 11 43:38 5 46
W D D W W
6 29 12 8 9 36:35 1 44
D D L W L
7 29 11 10 8 37:27 10 43
D L W D W
8 29 10 8 11 31:37 -6 38
L D D L L
9 29 9 8 12 35:39 -4 35
W D D W W
10 29 9 7 13 37:38 -1 34
L L L L L
11 29 8 9 12 28:32 -4 33
L D L D D
12 29 7 11 11 25:33 -8 32
L W D L D
13 29 9 5 15 23:43 -20 32
L W W D L
14 29 8 6 15 28:40 -12 30
L L L D W
15 29 4 14 11 24:38 -14 26
D D L L D
16 29 7 4 18 23:42 -19 25
W L W W L
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