URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee: E. Guerra
Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Boston River
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
F. Alvarez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
58'
F. Munoa ↔ N. Siri
Boston River
🔄
58'
F. Aristegui ↔ F. Perez
Boston River
🟨
63'
F. Bonfiglio
Boston River
🔄
65'
E. Da Silva ↔ L. Loprete
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
F. Bonfiglio ↔ Y. Gonzalez
Boston River
🟨
70'
J. Acosta
Boston River
🟥
82'
A. Aguirre
Boston River
VAR
87'
M. Ferreira
Racing Montevideo
🟨
90+2'
M. Mancebo
Boston River
🔄
90+5'
A. Vazquez ↔ T. Habib
Racing Montevideo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.4%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 81.4%
Draw 11.9%
Boston River Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.3
Boston River0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
Boston River Boston River
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
11
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 21 matches
Boston River Boston River 21 matches
Racing Montevideo Statistic Boston River
10 Wins 6
8 Draws 4
3 Losses 11
26 Goals For 19
17 Goals Against 29
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
11 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boston River. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Montevideo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Boston River in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boston River having the stronger overall control. Racing Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 38 points compared to Boston River in 13 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Boston River arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Racing Montevideo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 38 points after 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, while the 26:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Boston River Analysis

With 22 points from 21 games and a place of 13, Boston River still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 19:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 6 times, Boston River won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Boston River 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 6, draws 2, Boston River wins 7

Lineups

Racing Montevideo
Formation
Boston River
Federico Varese
Federico Varese
Guillermo Cotugno
Guillermo Cotugno
Ramiro Brazionis
Ramiro Brazionis
Felipe Alvarez
Felipe Alvarez
Martín Ferreira
Martín Ferreira
Esteban Da Silva
Esteban Da Silva
Juan Bosca Fraquelli
Juan Bosca Fraquelli
Álex Vázquez
Álex Vázquez
Yury Oyarzo
Yury Oyarzo
Sebastián da Silva
Sebastián da Silva
Rodrigo Dudok
Rodrigo Dudok
Bruno Antúnez
Bruno Antúnez
Juan Acosta
Juan Acosta
Martín González
Martín González
Agustín Aguirre
Agustín Aguirre
Fredy Martínez
Fredy Martínez
Leandro Suhr
Leandro Suhr
Rodrigo Saravia
Rodrigo Saravia
Agustín Amado
Agustín Amado
Facundo Muñoa
Facundo Muñoa
Facundo Agustin Aristegui Lemos
Francisco Bonfiglio
Francisco Bonfiglio
Racing Montevideo 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
Federico Varese
G
4
Guillermo Cotugno
D
3
Ramiro Brazionis
D
13
Felipe Alvarez
⚽ 11'
D
17
Martín Ferreira
D
10
Esteban Da Silva
↓ 65'
M
5
Juan Bosca Fraquelli
M
39
Álex Vázquez
↓ 90+5'
M
37
Yury Oyarzo
M
9
Sebastián da Silva
F
19
Rodrigo Dudok
F
Substitutes
8
Lucca Loprete
M
7
Jose Varela
M
30
Rodrigo Gadea
F
18
Tomas Habib
↑ 90+5'
F
1
Facundo Machado
G
20
Elias Bentancor
D
81
Ivan Manzur
F
23
Nicolás Sosa
F
11
Franco Suárez
F
40
Gonzalo Oliva
Boston River 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
1
Bruno Antúnez
G
31
Juan Acosta
🟨 70'
D
30
Martín González
D
25
Agustín Aguirre
🟥 82'
D
22
Fredy Martínez
D
16
Leandro Suhr
M
5
Rodrigo Saravia
M
10
Agustín Amado
M
26
Facundo Muñoa
↓ 58'
M
13
Facundo Agustin Aristegui Lemos
8
Francisco Bonfiglio
↓ 69' 🟨 63'
F
Substitutes
21
Franco Pérez
↑ 58'
M
7
Nicolás Siri
↑ 58'
F
32
Yair González
↑ 69'
M
3
Marco Mancebo
🟨 90+2'
D
15
Lautaro Vazquez
D
12
Juan Ignacio González
G
24
Jairo O'Neil
D
29
Andy López
M
11
Gastón Ramírez
M
28
Agustín Fernández
F
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
23.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
Last matches: Boston River
29.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
21.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
3
2
W
14.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
H2H: Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
02.08.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
05.03.26
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
10.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
23.05.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
2
0
W
22.03.25
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
1
3
W
27.11.24
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W
24.05.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
04.02.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
2
L
22.11.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
1
L
19.05.19
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
04.11.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
3
0
W
06.05.18
H2H
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
15.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
1
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
29.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
4
L
17.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
1
0
W
H2H at home: Racing Montevideo
02.08.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
10.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
23.05.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
2
0
W
24.05.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
2
L
22.11.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
1
L
04.11.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
3
0
W
Last matches: Boston River
21.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
3
2
W
09.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
0
0
D
31.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Miramar
4
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
0
0
D
08.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
H2H away: Boston River
02.08.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
10.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
23.05.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
2
0
L
24.05.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
2
W
04.02.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
2
W
22.11.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
1
W
04.11.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
3
0
L

Standings

Primera: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 9:0 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 9:2 7 9
W W W
3 4 2 2 0 6:4 2 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 4:2 2 7
W W L D
5 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 4:6 -2 7
D L W W
7 3 1 2 0 4:2 2 5
D W D
8 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D W D
9 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
10 3 0 3 0 3:3 0 3
D D D
11 3 1 0 2 2:4 -2 3
W L L
12 4 1 0 3 1:4 -3 3
W L L L
13 4 1 0 3 2:6 -4 3
L L L W
14 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
L D D L
15 4 0 1 3 2:9 -7 1
L D L L
16 3 0 0 3 3:6 -3 0
L L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)