BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Easi Arena
Referee: K. van Damme
RAAL La Louvière
Match Timeline
Cercle Brugge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
O. Diakite · Assist: D. Vanzeir
Cercle Brugge
🔄
46'
M. Ashimeru ↔ B. Soumare
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
46'
J. Ito ↔ S. Gueulette
RAAL La Louvière
51'
P. M. Fall · Assist: T. Lutonda
RAAL La Louvière
55'
W. Faye · Assist: J. Liongola
RAAL La Louvière
🟨
56'
Wagane Faye
RAAL La Louvière
🟨
56'
Heriberto Jurado
Cercle Brugge
🔄
60'
E. Kakou ↔ G. Magnee
Cercle Brugge
🔄
60'
R. Caicedo ↔ C. Ravych
Cercle Brugge
🔄
60'
K. Valy ↔ Nazinho
Cercle Brugge
🟨
64'
Gary Magnee
Cercle Brugge
69'
P. M. Fall · Assist: J. Liongola
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
70'
D. Vanzeir ↔ O. Adewumi
Cercle Brugge
VAR
74'
Jordi Liongola
RAAL La Louvière
76'
J. Liongola
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
78'
H. Jurado ↔ K. Kouassi
Cercle Brugge
🔄
80'
S. Lahssaini ↔ A. Beka Beka
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
87'
W. Faye ↔ S. Traore
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
90'
P. M. Fall ↔ M. Maisonneuve
RAAL La Louvière

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
RAAL La Louvière Win 12.1%
Draw 8.9%
Cercle Brugge Win 79%
Expected Goals (xG)
RAAL La Louvière1.15
Cercle Brugge1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
WWDLW
31 GF / 49 GA
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
WLDWL
52 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
17
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
20
3.11
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 35 matches
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 35 matches
RAAL La Louvière Statistic Cercle Brugge
6 Wins 10
13 Draws 11
16 Losses 14
31 Goals For 52
49 Goals Against 54
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
17 BTTS Yes 23
22 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 12
10 Clean Sheets 8
16 Failed To Score 7
3.11 Shots On Goal 4.91
10.66 Total Shots 14.34
5 Corners 5.09
38.7% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with RAAL La Louvière expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cercle Brugge in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cercle Brugge having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cercle Brugge. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. RAAL La Louvière have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

RAAL La Louvière Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 15, RAAL La Louvière still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 30:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. M. Fall (9 goals), J. Afriyie (5 goals), N. Gillot (2 goals), with creative support from N. Gillot (4 assists), Jordi Liongola (4 assists), P. M. Fall (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cercle Brugge Analysis

Cercle Brugge sit 14 with 31 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 39:47 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Diop (7 goals), S. Ngoura (7 goals), O. Diakite (6 goals), with creative support from Gary Magnee (7 assists), Flávio Nazinho (7 assists), S. Ngoura (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, RAAL La Louvière won 3 times, Cercle Brugge won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from RAAL La Louvière's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: RAAL La Louvière 3-4-2-1 / Cercle Brugge 3-5-2
H2H summary: RAAL La Louvière wins 3, draws 0, Cercle Brugge wins 1
Stats
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 5
5 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 5
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
309 Total passes 386
249 Passes accurate 315
1.55 expected_goals 1.52
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

RAAL La Louvière
Formation
Cercle Brugge
M. Peano
M. Peano
W. Faye
W. Faye
Y. Okou
Y. Okou
D. Lamego
D. Lamego
S. Lahssaini
S. Lahssaini
J. Liongola
🎯
J. Liongola
J. Ito
J. Ito
M. Ashimeru
M. Ashimeru
T. Lutonda
🎯
T. Lutonda
J. Afriyie
J. Afriyie
P. M. Fall
⚽ 2
P. M. Fall
B. Langenbick
B. Langenbick
E. Kakou
E. Kakou
G. Kondo
G. Kondo
R. Caicedo
R. Caicedo
I. Diakite
I. Diakite
I. Diaby
I. Diaby
P. Gerkens
P. Gerkens
K. Valy
K. Valy
D. Vanzeir
🎯
D. Vanzeir
H. Jurado
H. Jurado
O. Diakite
O. Diakite
RAAL La Louvière 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
21
M. Peano
G
4
W. Faye
⚽ 55' ↓ 87' 🟨 56'
D
99
Y. Okou
D
25
D. Lamego
D
15
S. Lahssaini
↓ 80'
M
11
J. Liongola
⚽ 76' 🎯 55' 🎯 69'
M
23
J. Ito
↓ 46'
M
18
M. Ashimeru
↓ 46'
M
5
T. Lutonda
🎯 51'
M
22
J. Afriyie
F
7
P. M. Fall
⚽ 51' ⚽ 69' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
1
C. De Schrevel
G
6
A. Beka Beka
↑ 80'
M
13
M. Maisonneuve
↑ 90'
D
28
B. Soumare
↑ 46'
M
27
N. Nsingi
F
8
S. Gueulette
↑ 46'
M
3
N. Gillot
D
20
N. Makembo-Ntemo
M
91
S. Traore
↑ 87'
D
Cercle Brugge 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
84
B. Langenbick
G
5
E. Kakou
↓ 60'
D
24
G. Kondo
D
33
R. Caicedo
↓ 60'
D
2
I. Diakite
M
19
I. Diaby
M
18
P. Gerkens
M
12
K. Valy
↓ 60'
M
13
D. Vanzeir
🎯 34' ↓ 70'
F
23
H. Jurado
↓ 78' 🟨 56'
F
10
O. Diakite
⚽ 34'
F
Substitutes
1
Warleson
G
15
G. Magnee
↑ 60' 🟨 64'
D
27
N. De Wilde
D
17
O. Adewumi
↑ 70'
F
75
S. Gheerardyns
D
41
K. Kouassi
↑ 78'
F
28
H. van der Bruggen
M
66
C. Ravych
↑ 60'
D
20
Nazinho
↑ 60'
D
Last matches: RAAL La Louvière
03.05.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
1
2
L
26.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
4
L
19.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
2
L
11.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
0
3
L
06.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
0
1
L
22.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Genk
5
5
D
15.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
3
1
W
06.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Antwerp
0
0
D
27.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Standard Liege
1
1
D
22.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
15.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Anderlecht
0
0
D
08.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
30.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Gent
1
1
D
24.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
St. Truiden
1
2
L
16.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
27.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven
0
0
D
20.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
13.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
05.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
1
2
L
29.11.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Charleroi
0
0
D
Last matches: Cercle Brugge
01.05.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
2
3
L
24.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
2
1
W
19.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
4
1
W
11.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
04.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
22.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
3
2
W
15.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
1
3
L
08.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
1
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
20.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Gent
1
0
W
15.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
07.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
4
3
W
31.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
0
4
L
25.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Genk
1
1
D
17.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
26.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
21.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
2
0
W
13.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
2
3
L
06.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege
1
2
L
29.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
H2H: RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge
09.05.26
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
4
1
W
11.04.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
L
15.03.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
1
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
Last matches: RAAL La Louvière
19.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
0
1
L
22.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Genk
5
5
D
06.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Antwerp
0
0
D
22.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
30.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Gent
1
1
D
24.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
St. Truiden
1
2
L
27.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven
0
0
D
05.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
1
2
L
23.11.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Anderlecht
0
1
L
02.11.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
18.10.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
04.10.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
0
D
13.09.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Club Brugge KV
1
0
W
24.08.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
10.08.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Charleroi
1
0
W
26.07.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Standard Liege
0
2
L
H2H at home: RAAL La Louvière
09.05.26
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
4
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
Last matches: Cercle Brugge
19.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
4
1
W
04.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
22.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
3
2
W
08.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
1
2
L
20.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Gent
1
0
W
07.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
4
3
W
25.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Genk
1
1
D
17.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
21.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
2
0
W
29.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
22.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
02.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
1
2
L
04.10.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
1
1
D
21.09.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
0
0
D
23.08.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege
3
0
W
09.08.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
26.07.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
H2H away: Cercle Brugge
09.05.26
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
4
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
2
1
L

Standings

Pro League , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 13 9 14 53:53 0 48
W W W W W
2 36 10 11 15 53:58 -5 41
L L W W W
3 36 7 13 16 35:50 -15 34
W L L L L
4 36 5 10 21 31:62 -31 25
D L L W L
Relegation Playoffs