COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
24.07.2026 21:05
Estadio Centenario
Quindio
Match Timeline
Popayan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
J. Sandoval
Quindio
🔄
46'
J. Ramirez ↔ S. Orozco
Quindio
🔄
46'
J. Salcedo ↔ J. Cuero
Popayan
🔄
46'
W. Arango ↔ J. Andrade
Popayan
🟨
48'
Popayan
Popayan
58'
J. Aponza
Popayan
🔄
60'
A. F. Carabali R. ↔ M. Bacca
Quindio
🔄
60'
M. Castano ↔ F. Mosquera
Quindio
🟨
68'
Quindio
Quindio
🔄
69'
J. Viveros ↔ F. Valencia
Quindio
🔄
74'
H. Ortiz ↔ J. M. Mancilla Mina
Popayan

Quindio vs Popayan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quindio Win 68.9%
Draw 9.2%
Popayan Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quindio1.22
Popayan0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quindio Quindio
WWDLW
24 GF / 13 GA
Popayan Popayan
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1
0.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quindio Quindio 21 matches
Popayan Popayan 15 matches
Quindio Statistic Popayan
12 Wins 2
5 Draws 7
4 Losses 6
24 Goals For 15
13 Goals Against 20
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Quindio's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Popayan. Quindio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 10 points compared to Popayan in 12 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Popayan having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 10 points after 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 4:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Popayan Analysis

Popayan sit 12 with 13 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 15:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Quindio won 6 times, Popayan won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Quindio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
H2H summary: Quindio wins 6, draws 2, Popayan wins 6

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 28 13 6 9 38:27 11 45
L L W L L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 23 9 7 7 28:27 1 34
W W W L W
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
14 22 4 9 9 23:29 -6 21
W D L L L
15 23 4 7 12 14:37 -23 19
D L L L D
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)