ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
Colegiales
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
A. Spetale
Quilmes
🟨
45+1'
A. Kippes
Quilmes
🔄
46'
U. Vera ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🔄
46'
N. Colazo ↔ M. Fernandez
Quilmes
🔄
46'
J. Coronel ↔ R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
64'
R. E. Monserrat ↔ M. Albertengo
Colegiales
🔄
64'
L. Gonzalez ↔ E. Ocampo
Colegiales
🔄
66'
A. Spetale ↔ G. Vazquez
Quilmes
🟨
68'
P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🟨
72'
A. Bolivar
Quilmes
🔄
79'
A. Batista ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🟨
81'
M. Fernandez
Quilmes
🔄
84'
L. Castillo ↔ L. Juarez
Colegiales
86'
L. Ortiz
Colegiales
🔄
89'
F. Zicarelli ↔ M. Ramirez
Colegiales
🔄
89'
E. Trinidad ↔ N. Toloza
Colegiales

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 72.2%
Draw 14.7%
Colegiales Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes0.94
Colegiales0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
18 GF / 16 GA
Colegiales Colegiales
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 20 matches
Colegiales Colegiales 20 matches
Quilmes Statistic Colegiales
6 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 9
18 Goals For 18
16 Goals Against 20
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Quilmes's more proactive style and Colegiales's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Colegiales. Colegiales arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colegiales having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Quilmes Analysis

So far, Quilmes have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 24 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 18:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Colegiales Analysis

With 23 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Colegiales still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 18:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 1 times, Colegiales won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Quilmes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.9%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 1, draws 0, Colegiales wins 3

Lineups

Colegiales
Formation
Quilmes
E. Di Fulvio
E. Di Fulvio
F. Malagueno
F. Malagueno
F. Rivero
F. Rivero
L. Ortiz
L. Ortiz
F. Hanashiro
F. Hanashiro
F. Zicarelli
F. Zicarelli
F. Marin
F. Marin
L. Castillo
L. Castillo
L. Gonzalez
L. Gonzalez
R. E. Monserrat
R. E. Monserrat
E. Trinidad
E. Trinidad
E. Glellel
E. Glellel
M. Vallejos
M. Vallejos
L. Romeo
L. Romeo
A. Kippes
A. Kippes
S. Luna
S. Luna
N. Colazo
N. Colazo
A. Bolivar
A. Bolivar
A. Batista
A. Batista
U. Vera
U. Vera
J. Coronel
J. Coronel
A. Spetale
A. Spetale
Colegiales 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Di Fulvio
4
F. Malagueno
2
F. Rivero
6
L. Ortiz
⚽ 86'
3
F. Hanashiro
8
F. Zicarelli
↓ 89'
5
F. Marin
10
L. Castillo
↓ 84'
7
L. Gonzalez
↓ 64'
9
R. E. Monserrat
↓ 64'
11
E. Trinidad
↓ 89'
Substitutes
12
A. Alcorcel
13
E. Aguirre
14
M. Ramirez
↑ 89'
15
F. Montiel
16
E. Ocampo
↑ 64'
17
L. Juarez
↑ 84'
18
M. Mamani
19
M. Albertengo
↑ 64'
20
N. Toloza
↑ 89'
Quilmes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Glellel
4
M. Vallejos
2
L. Romeo
6
A. Kippes
🟨 45+1'
3
S. Luna
8
N. Colazo
↓ 46'
5
A. Bolivar
🟨 72'
10
A. Batista
↓ 79'
11
U. Vera
↓ 46'
7
J. Coronel
↓ 46'
9
A. Spetale
↓ 66' 🟨 13'
Substitutes
12
G. Marinelli
14
T. Ortega
15
J. Yangali
16
R. Martinez
↑ 46'
17
M. Fernandez
↑ 46' 🟨 81'
18
G. Vazquez
↑ 66'
19
P. Bonacci
↑ 46' 🟨 68'
20
A. Lavezzi
↑ 79'
13
J. Novillo
Last matches: Quilmes
01.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
3
D
12.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
20.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
3
L
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
Last matches: Colegiales
01.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
1
W
14.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Agropecuario
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Club Atlético Güemes
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Temperley
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Midland
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
1
0
W
H2H: Quilmes vs Colegiales
26.07.26
H2H
Quilmes
Colegiales
0
1
L
20.06.26
H2H
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Colegiales
Quilmes
1
0
L
27.03.25
H2H
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
0
W
Last matches: Quilmes
04.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Quilmes
26.07.26
H2H
Quilmes
Colegiales
0
1
L
27.03.25
H2H
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
0
W
Last matches: Colegiales
14.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Midland
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
09.11.24
Pri
Colegiales
Los Andes
0
0
D
26.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Argentino de Merlo
1
2
L
13.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Comunicaciones
2
1
W
30.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Argentino Quilmes
0
2
L
15.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Midland
1
2
L
02.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Canuelas
2
0
W
18.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Merlo
2
3
L
06.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Excursionistas
1
0
W
20.07.24
Pri
Colegiales
San Martín Burzaco
2
1
W
09.07.24
Pri
Colegiales
Villa Dalmine
1
0
W
H2H away: Colegiales
26.07.26
H2H
Quilmes
Colegiales
0
1
W
27.03.25
H2H
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 5 5 35:25 10 41
L W D D W
2 22 10 9 3 21:12 9 39
W W W L D
3 23 9 10 4 24:20 4 37
L W W D W
4 22 11 3 8 28:22 6 36
L L W L L
5 22 9 7 6 23:16 7 34
D W W D D
6 23 9 5 9 31:24 7 32
W L D W W
7 22 8 7 7 22:22 0 31
W W D W D
8 23 8 7 8 17:19 -2 31
D W L L L
9 23 7 9 7 21:19 2 30
L L D W W
10 22 8 5 9 21:21 0 29
W W L L W
11 22 7 8 7 20:20 0 29
W L D L W
12 22 8 5 9 20:24 -4 29
D W L W W
13 21 7 6 8 22:22 0 27
D L W L W
14 22 7 5 10 18:23 -5 26
W L D W D
15 22 6 7 9 21:20 1 25
D L L W L
16 22 4 11 7 16:21 -5 23
D L D L D
17 23 5 8 10 18:28 -10 23
L W D D L
18 22 5 4 13 20:39 -19 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation