Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- |
QPR
Swansea
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
QPR
44 matches
Swansea
44 matches
| QPR | Statistic | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 16 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 18 | Losses | 18 |
| 59 | Goals For | 52 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 12.41 | Total Shots | 12.36 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 4.66 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 54.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Swansea. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with QPR expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Swansea in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Swansea having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
QPR are currently 11 in the standings with 58 points from 43 matches. The record of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats, together with a 58:63 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Burrell (10 goals), R. Kone (9 goals), P. Smyth (6 goals), with creative support from N. Madsen (6 assists), B. Whiteman (5 assists), H. Vale (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Dembele, Z. Larkeche, J. Dunne unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 57 points from 43 games and a place of 15, Swansea still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 16 wins, 9 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 50:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Z. Vipotnik (21 goals), Liam Cullen (6 goals), A. Idah (4 goals), with creative support from Josh Tymon (9 assists), Ronald (5 assists), Gonçalo Franco (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Z. Inoussa, J. Key, E. Galbraith unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Swansea won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from QPR's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
QPR
5
11
4
2
3
4
Lineups
QPR
Wycombe
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
QPR
First Vienna
QPR
Ipswich
QPR
Derby
QPR
Millwall
QPR
Bristol City
QPR
Preston
QPR
Watford
QPR
Portsmouth
QPR
Leicester
QPR
Birmingham
QPR
Middlesbrough
QPR
Sheffield Utd
QPR
Southampton
QPR
Hull City
QPR
Blackburn
QPR
Charlton
QPR
Coventry
QPR
Wrexham
Swansea
Udinese
Swansea
VfL Bochum
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
Swansea
Charlton
Swansea
Norwich
Swansea
Southampton
Swansea
Leicester
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
Swansea
Coventry
Swansea
Wrexham
Swansea
Portsmouth
Swansea
Stoke City
Swansea
Ipswich
Swansea
Preston
Swansea
Bristol City
Swansea
Derby
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea
Watford
Swansea
Hull City
QPR
Wycombe
QPR
Derby
QPR
Bristol City
QPR
Watford
QPR
Portsmouth
QPR
Middlesbrough
QPR
Sheffield Utd
QPR
Blackburn
QPR
Coventry
QPR
Wrexham
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
QPR
Norwich
QPR
Leicester
QPR
Birmingham
QPR
West Brom
QPR
Hull City
QPR
Southampton
QPR
Ipswich
QPR
Millwall
QPR
Oxford United
Swansea
Norwich
Swansea
Leicester
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
Swansea
Wrexham
Swansea
Portsmouth
Swansea
Ipswich
Swansea
Derby
Swansea
Watford
Swansea
Hull City
Swansea
Millwall
Swansea
Oxford United
Swansea
Coventry
Swansea
Stoke City
Swansea
West Brom
Swansea
Bristol City
Swansea
Preston
Swansea
Charlton
Swansea
Southampton
Swansea
Blackburn
Swansea
Birmingham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Swansea
Away
|
46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
QPR
Home
|
46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|