ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
19.09.2026 14:00
Loftus Road
Referee: Thomas Parsons
QPR
Match Timeline
Preston
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Johnny Kenny · Assist: Stanley Mills
Preston
🟥
15'
Dennis Cirkin
QPR
🔄
19'
Jonathan Varane ↔ Kealey Adamson
QPR
🟨
22'
Leon Scarlett
QPR
🟨
24'
Andrew Hughes
Preston
26'
Johnny Kenny
Preston
🔄
45'
Leon Scarlett ↔ Koki Saito
QPR
🟨
55'
Koki Saito
QPR
🟨
65'
Julien Stéphan
QPR
🔄
65'
Amadou Salif Mbengue ↔ Paul Smyth
QPR
66'
Kwame Poku
QPR
🔄
67'
Leo Leroy ↔ Liam Gibbs
Preston
🔄
67'
Johnny Kenny ↔ Jusef Erabi
Preston
🔄
82'
Rumarn Burrell ↔ Alfie Lloyd
QPR
🔄
89'
Andrija Vukčević ↔ Pol Valentin
Preston
🔄
89'
Stanley Mills ↔ Odeluga Offiah
Preston
🟨
90'
Harry Clarke
Preston
90'
Paul Smyth
QPR

QPR vs Preston Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.76
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
1.76
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.2%
1.85
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 87.9%
Draw 6.1%
Preston Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.92
Preston0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
25 GF / 10 GA
Preston Preston
WLDWL
14 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
9
5.14
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 13 matches
Preston Preston 13 matches
QPR Statistic Preston
8 Wins 2
4 Draws 0
1 Losses 11
25 Goals For 14
10 Goals Against 25
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
7 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 5
5.14 Shots On Goal 3.14
15 Total Shots 12.86
6.43 Corners 5.57
49% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by QPR's more proactive style and Preston's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Preston. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with QPR expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Preston in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Preston having the stronger overall control. Preston arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. QPR arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 11 points compared to Preston in 24 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

QPR Analysis

Placed 4 with 11 points from 6 outings, QPR continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Chair (2 goals), J. Dunne (1 goals), P. Smyth (1 goals), with creative support from I. Chair (1 assists), H. Vale (1 assists), R. Burrell (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Preston Analysis

Preston sit 24 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 6:12, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through C. Lang (3 goals), J. Erabi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (1 assists), D. Burgzorg (1 assists), A. Vukčević (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 8 times, Preston won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from QPR's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Preston 5-3-2
Missing players: QPR 6, Preston 3
H2H summary: QPR wins 8, draws 3, Preston wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6
QPR Home
8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One