QPR
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
47.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 47.4%
Draw 17.9%
Fiorentina Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1
Fiorentina2.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
Fiorentina
WLDWL
9 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
4.5
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
QPR
3 matches
Fiorentina
2 matches
| QPR | Statistic | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 0 |
| 4 | Goals For | 9 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 4.5 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 1 times, Fiorentina won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from QPR's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Fiorentina 4-3-3
H2H summary: QPR wins 1, draws 0, Fiorentina wins 0
Lineups
QPR
Formation
Fiorentina
P. Charles
H. Vale
A. Mbengue
N. Madsen
B. Kemper
P. Smyth
R. Burrell
I. Chair
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
David de Gea
Viery
A. Atta
M. Brescianini
R. Drăgușin
C. Inao Oulaï
Álex Jiménez
M. Kean
C. Ndour
QPR
4-3-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
20
H. Vale
M
1
P. Charles
G
27
A. Mbengue
D
24
N. Madsen
M
⚽ 30'
12
B. Kemper
D
⚽ 39'
11
P. Smyth
F
⚽ 54'
16
R. Burrell
F
10
I. Chair
M
3
J. Dunne
D
37
R. Edwards
D
Substitutes
Kieran Morgan
M
23
L. Morrison
D
17
K. Poku
M
40
J. Varane
M
13
C. Ward
G
2
K. Adamson
D
48
I. Alemayehu
M
D. Bennie
F
6
J. Clarke-Salter
D
Hevertton Santos
D
21
Z. Larkeche
D
Fiorentina
3-4-1
(estimated)
Starting XI
44
Viery
D
43
David de Gea
G
14
A. Atta
M
⚽ 44'
4
M. Brescianini
M
3
R. Drăgușin
D
42
C. Inao Oulaï
M
20
Álex Jiménez
D
M. Kean
F
27
C. Ndour
M
Substitutes
No substitutes data
Last matches: QPR
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
06.02.26
Cha
QPR
Charlton
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
2
4
L
23.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Pisa
1
0
W
H2H: QPR vs Fiorentina
25.07.26
H2H
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
Last matches: QPR
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
18.10.25
Cha
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
H2H at home: QPR
25.07.26
H2H
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
2
2
D
06.11.25
UEF
Fiorentina
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
29.10.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
0
3
L
H2H away: Fiorentina
25.07.26
H2H
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
L