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--.--.---- --:--
QPR
FT
3 - 2
Fiorentina
Loftus Road
QPR
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
R. Kone ↔ A. Lloyd
QPR
⚽
30'
N. Madsen
QPR
🔄
36'
N. Madsen ↔ J. Varane
QPR
⚽
39'
B. Kemper
QPR
⚽
44'
A. Atta
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
P. Charles ↔ C. Ward
QPR
🔄
46'
M. Kean ↔ R. Piccoli
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
D. de Gea ↔ O. Christensen
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
Viery ↔ P. Comuzzo
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
C. Inao Oulai ↔ G. Fabbian
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
A. Atta ↔ N. Fagioli
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
R. Dragusin ↔ L. Ranieri
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
C. Ndour ↔ R. Mandragora
Fiorentina
⚽
54'
P. Smyth
QPR
🔄
62'
J. Dunne ↔ L. Morrison
QPR
🔄
62'
R. Edwards ↔ J. Clarke-Salter
QPR
🔄
62'
B. Kemper ↔ Z. Larkeche
QPR
🔄
62'
A. S. Mbengue ↔ S. Hevertton
QPR
🔄
62'
I. Chair ↔ I. Alemayehu Mulugeta
QPR
🔄
62'
H. Vale ↔ K. Morgan
QPR
🔄
62'
P. Smyth ↔ D. Bennie
QPR
🔄
62'
R. Burrell ↔ K. Poku
QPR
🔄
62'
M. Brescianini ↔ N. Fortini
Fiorentina
🔄
62'
A. Gudmundsson ↔ F. Croci
Fiorentina
🔄
62'
A. Jimenez ↔ B. Mazzeo
Fiorentina
🔄
62'
Dodo ↔ A. Perrotti
Fiorentina
⚽
65'
R. Piccoli
Fiorentina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 47.4%
Draw 17.9%
Fiorentina Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1
Fiorentina2.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
9 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
4.5
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 3 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 2 matches
QPR Statistic Fiorentina
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
4 Goals For 9
1 Goals Against 1
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 4.5
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 1 times, Fiorentina won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from QPR's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-2-3-1 / Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: QPR wins 1, draws 0, Fiorentina wins 0

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Fiorentina
P. Charles
↓
P. Charles
H. Vale
↓
H. Vale
A. S. Mbengue
↓
A. S. Mbengue
N. Madsen
⚽ ↓
N. Madsen
B. Kemper
⚽ ↓
B. Kemper
P. Smyth
⚽ ↓
P. Smyth
R. Burrell
↓
R. Burrell
I. Chair
↓
I. Chair
J. Dunne
↓
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
↓
R. Edwards
R. Kone
↓
R. Kone
D. de Gea
↓
D. de Gea
Viery
↓
Viery
A. Atta
⚽ ↓
A. Atta
M. Brescianini
↓
M. Brescianini
R. Dragusin
↓
R. Dragusin
C. Inao Oulai
↓
C. Inao Oulai
A. Jimenez
↓
A. Jimenez
M. Kean
↓
M. Kean
C. Ndour
↓
C. Ndour
Dodo
↓
Dodo
A. Gudmundsson
↓
A. Gudmundsson
QPR 4-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
20
H. Vale
↓ 62'
M
1
P. Charles
↓ 46'
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
↓ 62'
D
24
N. Madsen
⚽ 30' ↓ 36'
M
12
B. Kemper
⚽ 39' ↓ 62'
D
11
P. Smyth
⚽ 54' ↓ 62'
F
16
R. Burrell
↓ 62'
F
10
I. Chair
↓ 62'
M
3
J. Dunne
↓ 62'
D
37
R. Edwards
↓ 62'
D
22
R. Kone
↓ 7'
Substitutes
2
K. Adamson
D
23
L. Morrison
↑ 62'
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
↑ 62'
D
21
Z. Larkeche
↑ 62'
D
13
C. Ward
↑ 46'
G
S. Hevertton
↑ 62'
D
48
I. Alemayehu Mulugeta
↑ 62'
M
K. Morgan
↑ 62'
M
40
J. Varane
↑ 36'
M
D. Bennie
↑ 62'
F
17
K. Poku
↑ 62'
M
19
A. Lloyd
↑ 7'
Fiorentina 3-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
44
Viery
↓ 46'
D
43
D. de Gea
↓ 46'
G
14
A. Atta
⚽ 44' ↓ 46'
M
4
M. Brescianini
↓ 62'
M
3
R. Dragusin
↓ 46'
D
42
C. Inao Oulai
↓ 46'
M
20
A. Jimenez
↓ 62'
D
M. Kean
↓ 46'
F
27
C. Ndour
↓ 46'
M
2
Dodo
↓ 62'
10
A. Gudmundsson
↓ 62'
Substitutes
91
R. Piccoli
⚽ 65' ↑ 46'
53
O. Christensen
↑ 46'
1
L. Lezzerini
15
P. Comuzzo
↑ 46'
80
G. Fabbian
↑ 46'
N. Fagioli
↑ 46'
29
N. Fortini
↑ 62'
6
L. Ranieri
↑ 46'
8
R. Mandragora
↑ 46'
36
F. Croci
↑ 62'
23
E. Kospo
64
L. Deli
28
B. Mazzeo
↑ 62'
A. Perrotti
↑ 62'
Last matches: QPR
29.08.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
2
1
W
22.08.26
Cha
QPR
Bolton
0
0
D
15.08.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
Last matches: Fiorentina
29.08.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Frosinone
0
3
L
24.08.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
14.08.26
Cop
Fiorentina
Benevento
4
1
W
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
H2H: QPR vs Fiorentina
25.07.26
H2H
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
Last matches: QPR
22.08.26
Cha
QPR
Bolton
0
0
D
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
H2H at home: QPR
25.07.26
H2H
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
24.08.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H away: Fiorentina
25.07.26
H2H
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
L