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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
25.04.2026 14:00
QPR
FT
2 - 3
Derby
Loftus Road
Referee: J. Busby
QPR
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
H. Vale · Assist: D. Bennie
QPR
⚽
25'
O. Fraulo · Assist: M. Johnston
Derby
🔄
46'
A. S. Mbengue ↔ K. Adamson
QPR
🟨
53'
Sammie Szmodics
Derby
⚽
55'
R. Kone · Assist: H. Vale
QPR
🔄
61'
M. Johnston ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🔄
61'
D. Sanderson ↔ C. Forsyth
Derby
🔄
61'
O. Fraulo ↔ D. Ozoh
Derby
🔄
62'
K. Morgan ↔ N. Madsen
QPR
🔄
62'
D. Bennie ↔ R. Burrell
QPR
🟨
63'
Sondre Langås
Derby
🔄
68'
R. Kone ↔ I. Chair
QPR
🟨
70'
Rumarn Burrell
QPR
🔄
75'
L. Travis ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
⚽
76'
S. Langas · Assist: J. Ward
Derby
🔄
79'
P. Smyth ↔ K. Saito
QPR
🟨
81'
Ben Brereton Díaz
Derby
⚽
88'
J. Banel · Assist: M. Clarke
Derby
🔄
90+1'
S. Szmodics ↔ D. Batth
Derby

QPR vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 50.5%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 49.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.31
Derby1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
60 GF / 69 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
64 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
29
BTTS Yes
29
28
Over 2.5
23
3.89
Shots on Goal
3.51

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 45 matches
Derby Derby 45 matches
QPR Statistic Derby
16 Wins 19
10 Draws 9
19 Losses 17
60 Goals For 64
69 Goals Against 58
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
29 BTTS Yes 29
34 Over 1.5 34
28 Over 2.5 23
16 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 4
3.89 Shots On Goal 3.51
12.4 Total Shots 10.73
4.73 Corners 4.49
45.4% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Derby won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from QPR's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
Missing players: QPR 5, Derby 3
H2H summary: QPR wins 5, draws 3, Derby wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Home
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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