Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 40.1%
Draw 4.1%
Cardiff Win 55.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR2.3
Cardiff2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR
WWDLW
20 GF / 6 GA
Cardiff
WLDWL
18 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
3
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
8
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
QPR
8 matches
Cardiff
6 matches
| QPR | Statistic | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 20 | Goals For | 18 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 15.5 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 65.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 8 times, Cardiff won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from QPR's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-2-3-1 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: QPR wins 8, draws 3, Cardiff wins 4
Last matches: QPR
22.08.26
Cha
QPR
Bolton
0
0
D
15.08.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
Last matches: Cardiff
22.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Derby
2
2
D
17.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Wrexham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
H2H: QPR vs Cardiff
23.07.25
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
2
2
D
05.04.25
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
0
0
D
27.11.24
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
0
2
W
01.01.24
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
1
2
L
12.08.23
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
1
2
W
26.12.22
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
0
0
D
19.10.22
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
3
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
1
2
L
03.11.21
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
0
1
W
20.01.21
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
0
1
W
31.10.20
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
3
2
W
01.01.20
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
6
1
W
02.10.19
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
3
0
L
01.01.18
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
2
1
W
26.08.17
H2H
Cardiff
QPR
2
1
L
Last matches: QPR
22.08.26
Cha
QPR
Bolton
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
H2H at home: QPR
23.07.25
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
2
2
D
05.04.25
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
0
0
D
01.01.24
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
1
2
L
19.10.22
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
3
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
1
2
L
31.10.20
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
3
2
W
01.01.20
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
6
1
W
01.01.18
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
2
1
W
Last matches: Cardiff
22.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Derby
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
07.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Rotherham
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bradford
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
1
3
L
H2H away: Cardiff
23.07.25
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
2
2
D
05.04.25
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
0
0
D
01.01.24
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
1
2
W
19.10.22
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
3
0
L
05.03.22
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
1
2
W
31.10.20
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
3
2
L
01.01.20
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
6
1
L
01.01.18
H2H
QPR
Cardiff
2
1
L
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
QPR
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Cardiff
Away
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 |
W
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One