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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
11.10.2026 10:00
Guzhenkou University Sports Center
Referee: Yinhao Shen, China
Qingdao Youth Island
Match Timeline
Dalian Zhixing
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
F. Acheampong · Assist: P. Delgado
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
15'
Frank Acheampong
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
21'
Jintao Liao
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
32'
Bruno Viana
Qingdao Youth Island
VAR
42'
Luo Jing
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
46'
Lohman Elnizar ↔ He Longhai
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
55'
Luo Jing ↔ Yang Mingrui
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
61'
Meng Jingchao ↔ Yang Zhanpeng
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
68'
Samir Memisevic
Qingdao Youth Island
⚽
70'
F. Acheampong
Dalian Zhixing
⚽
76'
F. Acheampong
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
78'
X. Zhang ↔ Jia Weiwei
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
79'
Yang Zhanpeng
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
84'
P. Delgado ↔ Feng Jing
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
85'
Liao Jintao ↔ Zhang Huachen
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
85'
N. Stanciu ↔ Huang Shan
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
87'
N. Da Luz ↔ Xie Alexander
Qingdao Youth Island
⚽
87'
F. Acheampong · Assist: Zhang Huachen
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
89'
Lu Zhuoyi ↔ Sun Kangbo
Dalian Zhixing

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Youth Island Win 58.4%
Draw 8.9%
Dalian Zhixing Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island1.33
Dalian Zhixing1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WWDLW
32 GF / 35 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
39 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
17
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
16
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 28 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 28 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Statistic Dalian Zhixing
8 Wins 12
15 Draws 4
5 Losses 12
32 Goals For 39
35 Goals Against 45
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.73
11.08 Total Shots 13.58
4.27 Corners 5.69
44.5% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Youth Island expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Dalian Zhixing in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dalian Zhixing having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dalian Zhixing.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 38 points after 26 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 14 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 31:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Davidson (7 goals), Nélson Luz (5 goals), A. Yakubu (5 goals), with creative support from Nélson Luz (5 assists), Davidson (3 assists), A. Yakubu (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Dalian Zhixing arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 40 points after 26 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cephas Malele (6 goals), F. Acheampong (6 goals), N. Stanciu (5 goals), with creative support from N. Stanciu (4 assists), Cephas Malele (3 assists), Mao Weijie (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 3 times, Dalian Zhixing won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Youth Island 4-1-4-1 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Qingdao Youth Island wins 3, draws 0, Dalian Zhixing wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation