09.07.2026 16:00
Tofiq Bəhramov
Referee: Roman Jitari, Moldova
Qarabag
Match Timeline
Vestri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Sergine Fall
Vestri
🔄
26'
I. Balde ↔ J. Stensson
Vestri
30'
Z. Sawo · Assist: O. Kashchuk
Qarabag
45'
A. Zoubir
Qarabag
🔄
57'
T. G. Hafthorsson ↔ C. Morfelt
Vestri
🔄
57'
G. Svavarsson ↔ G. Einarsson
Vestri
🔄
65'
O. Kashchuk ↔ J. Mouaddib
Qarabag
🔄
65'
B. Langa ↔ E. Cafarquliyev
Qarabag
🔄
65'
M. Jankovic ↔ S. Lobato
Qarabag
🔄
78'
B. Hermannsson ↔ J. Selven
Vestri
🔄
78'
G. Hauksson ↔ B. Eydal
Vestri
🔄
79'
A. Zoubir ↔ R. Cephas
Qarabag
86'
R. Cephas · Assist: Z. Sawo
Qarabag
🔄
88'
B. Huseynov ↔ Dani Bolt
Qarabag

Qarabag vs Vestri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 43.7%
Draw 17.5%
Vestri Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag2.31
Vestri1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag Qarabag
WWDLW
17 GF / 9 GA
Vestri Vestri
WLDWL
22 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.83
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
3
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qarabag Qarabag 6 matches
Vestri Vestri 13 matches
Qarabag Statistic Vestri
4 Wins 6
0 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
17 Goals For 22
9 Goals Against 20
2.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
3 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 2 times, Vestri won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from Qarabag's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / Vestri -
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 2, draws 0, Vestri wins 0

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)