23.07.2026 16:00
Azərsun Arena
Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy
Qarabag
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Leandro Godoy
CSKA Sofia
🟨
37'
Marko Janković
Qarabag
🔄
56'
M. Jankovic ↔ R. Cephas
Qarabag
🔄
56'
B. Langa ↔ E. Cafarquliyev
Qarabag
🔄
73'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🔄
73'
M. Ebong ↔ I. Solet
CSKA Sofia
🔄
74'
O. Kashchuk ↔ J. Mouaddib
Qarabag
🔄
74'
B. Huseynov ↔ C. Makreckis
Qarabag
🟨
77'
Facundo Rodríguez
CSKA Sofia
🔄
78'
A. Zoubir ↔ J. Montiel
Qarabag
🔄
84'
A. Martino ↔ T. Ouorou
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90+1'
Pastor ↔ M. Brahimi
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90+1'
S. Sensi ↔ P. Panayotov
CSKA Sofia

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 45.1%
Draw 14.7%
CSKA Sofia Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag2.3
CSKA Sofia1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag Qarabag
WWDLW
23 GF / 9 GA
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
22 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.88
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
3
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qarabag Qarabag 8 matches
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 12 matches
Qarabag Statistic CSKA Sofia
6 Wins 7
0 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
23 Goals For 22
9 Goals Against 17
2.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
3 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 2
0 Total Shots 4.67
0 Corners 3.67
0% Ball Possession 21.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 2 times, CSKA Sofia won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Qarabag's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 2, draws 2, CSKA Sofia wins 0

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)