Qarabag
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
45.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 45.1%
Draw 14.7%
CSKA Sofia Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag2.3
CSKA Sofia1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag
WWDLW
23 GF / 9 GA
CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
22 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.88
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
3
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Qarabag
8 matches
CSKA Sofia
12 matches
| Qarabag | Statistic | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 2.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 2 times, CSKA Sofia won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Qarabag's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 2, draws 2, CSKA Sofia wins 0
Stats
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
0
0
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
0
0
Lineups
Qarabag
Formation
CSKA Sofia
M. Kochalski
Matheus Silva
B. Huseynov
B. Varkonyi
B. Langa
Pedro Bicalho
M. Jankovic
O. Kashchuk
Kady Borges
A. Zoubir
Z. Sawo
F. Lapoukhov
Pastor
F. Rodriguez
T. Ivanov
A. Martino
M. Ebong
J. Gbamin
B. Jordao
S. Sensi
L. Godoy
I. Pittas
Qarabag
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
M. Kochalski
G
2
Matheus Silva
D
55
B. Huseynov
D
↓ 74'
4
B. Varkonyi
5
B. Langa
D
↓ 56'
35
Pedro Bicalho
M
8
M. Jankovic
M
↓ 56'
🟨 37'
21
O. Kashchuk
M
↓ 74'
20
Kady Borges
M
10
A. Zoubir
↓ 78'
11
Z. Sawo
F
Substitutes
1
S. Mahammadaliyev
G
23
M. Zlomislic
G
7
J. Mouaddib
M
↑ 74'
9
J. Montiel
M
↑ 78'
13
B. Mustafazada
D
22
M. Qurbanly
F
25
C. Makreckis
M
↑ 74'
29
R. Cephas
F
↑ 56'
32
H. Cabrayilzada
M
44
E. Cafarquliyev
M
↑ 56'
49
A. Bashirov
M
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2
Starting XI
21
F. Lapoukhov
2
Pastor
D
↓ 90+1'
32
F. Rodriguez
D
🟨 77'
14
T. Ivanov
D
17
A. Martino
D
↓ 84'
7
M. Ebong
M
↓ 73'
5
J. Gbamin
D
6
B. Jordao
M
8
S. Sensi
M
↓ 90+1'
9
L. Godoy
F
↓ 73'
🟨 35'
28
I. Pittas
F
Substitutes
25
D. Evtimov
G
3
T. Ouorou
D
↑ 84'
10
J. Zwarts
F
↑ 73'
11
M. Brahimi
M
↑ 90+1'
19
A. Yordanov
D
30
P. Panayotov
M
↑ 90+1'
34
V. Kaymakanov
M
38
Leo Pereira
M
77
A. Piedrahita
M
80
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
M
91
A. Tunchev
D
94
I. Solet
M
↑ 73'
Last matches: Qarabag
13.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
FC Kharkiv
2
6
L
27.06.26
Fri
Qarabag
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
2
3
L
18.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
6
L
28.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Liverpool
0
6
L
21.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
NK Osijek
3
1
W
12.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Neftchi
5
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
L
25.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Napoli
0
2
L
05.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Chelsea
2
2
D
22.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
Athletic Club
1
3
L
01.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
FC Copenhagen
2
0
W
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
16.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
5
0
W
13.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
3
L
09.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3
0
W
02.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
27.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
H2H: Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia
30.07.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
23.07.26
H2H
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
27.06.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
04.07.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
W
07.07.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
W
Last matches: Qarabag
13.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
FC Kharkiv
2
6
L
18.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
6
L
21.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
12.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Neftchi
5
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
L
05.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Chelsea
2
2
D
01.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
FC Copenhagen
2
0
W
27.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
2
3
L
12.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shkendija
5
1
W
30.07.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shelbourne
1
0
W
H2H at home: Qarabag
23.07.26
H2H
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
09.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3
0
W
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
2
1
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
06.12.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
29.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
08.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
19.10.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
22.09.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
H2H away: CSKA Sofia
23.07.26
H2H
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D