HUNGARY › NB I
15.05.2026 18:00
Pancho Arena
Referee: F. Karako
Puskas Academy
Match Timeline
MTK Budapest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Martin Kern
Puskas Academy
🟨
41'
Adrian Zeljković
MTK Budapest
🔄
46'
M. Kern ↔ Z. Magyar
Puskas Academy
🟨
50'
Tamás Kádár
MTK Budapest
VAR
58'
Gábor Jurek
MTK Budapest
⚽
59'
A. Molnar
MTK Budapest
🟨
68'
Michael Okeke
Puskas Academy
🔄
69'
A. Nemeth ↔ J. Fameyeh
Puskas Academy
🔄
69'
M. Okeke ↔ Z. Varga
Puskas Academy
🔄
78'
P. Szappanos ↔ B. Lehoczki
Puskas Academy
🔄
78'
Q. Maceiras ↔ M. Soisalo
Puskas Academy
🔄
78'
H. Nemeth ↔ Z. Kerezsi
MTK Budapest
🔄
78'
G. Jurek ↔ J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
⚽
79'
J. Fameyeh · Assist: D. Lukacs
Puskas Academy
⚽
83'
Z. Kerezsi
MTK Budapest
🔄
86'
I. Atrok ↔ V. Vitalyos
MTK Budapest
🟨
90+1'
Roland Szolnoki
Puskas Academy
🔄
90+2'
A. Molnar ↔ V. Gorog
MTK Budapest
⚽
90'
D. Lukacs
Puskas Academy

Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Puskas Academy Win 44.1%
Draw 25.4%
MTK Budapest Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puskas Academy1.51
MTK Budapest1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puskas Academy Puskas Academy
WWDLW
43 GF / 46 GA
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
WLDWL
53 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
21
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
22
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puskas Academy Puskas Academy 34 matches
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 32 matches
Puskas Academy Statistic MTK Budapest
13 Wins 9
6 Draws 10
15 Losses 13
43 Goals For 53
46 Goals Against 60
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
21 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 22
8 Over 3.5 17
7 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 6
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.78
9.65 Total Shots 9.63
3.85 Corners 3.16
35.6% Ball Possession 36.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MTK Budapest. Puskas Academy have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Puskas Academy expected to line up in 5-3-2 and MTK Budapest in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward MTK Budapest having the stronger overall control.

Puskas Academy Analysis

Puskas Academy approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 45 points from 32 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 41:41, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Lukacs (16 goals), Z. Nagy (8 goals), L. Colley (6 goals), with creative support from L. Duarte (6 assists), Q. Maceiras (3 assists), D. Lukacs (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

MTK Budapest Analysis

So far, MTK Budapest have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 37 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 53:60 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Molnar (9 goals), I. Atrok (6 goals), R. Molnar (5 goals), with creative support from I. Bognar (7 assists), Patrik Kovács (4 assists), K. Nemeth (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puskas Academy won 9 times, MTK Budapest won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:12 from Puskas Academy's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Puskas Academy 5-3-2 / MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puskas Academy wins 9, draws 5, MTK Budapest wins 1

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3 33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.