MEXICO LIGA MX
19.09.2026 01:00

Puebla vs Atlante FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 49%
Draw 21.1%
Atlante FC Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.78
Atlante FC1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla Puebla
WWDLW
18 GF / 16 GA
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
5
4.86
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puebla Puebla 10 matches
Atlante FC Atlante FC 12 matches
Puebla Statistic Atlante FC
6 Wins 1
1 Draws 7
3 Losses 4
18 Goals For 14
16 Goals Against 21
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
7 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
4.86 Shots On Goal 4.25
13.29 Total Shots 14.13
4.71 Corners 3.75
39.3% Ball Possession 41.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Puebla arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 10 points compared to Atlante FC in 14 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlante FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Puebla expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atlante FC in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlante FC having the stronger overall control.

Puebla Analysis

So far, Puebla have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Eduardo Mustre (1 goals), K. Velasco (1 goals), F. Monárrez (1 goals), with creative support from A. Herrera (2 assists), Eduardo Mustre (1 assists), A. Organista (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlante FC Analysis

With 7 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Atlante FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 7:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Julio (1 goals), L. Calzadilla (1 goals), E. Pizzuto (1 goals), with creative support from J. Julio (2 assists), Walter Portales (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 0 times, Atlante FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Puebla's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-2-3-1 / Atlante FC 5-3-2
H2H summary: Puebla wins 0, draws 0, Atlante FC wins 1

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
4 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)